The Center's Complete Third Quarter 2020 Investment Commentary

Contributed by: Angela Palacios, CFP®, AIF®

The year 2020, unlike 20/20 eyesight, has brought investors everything but clarity when it comes to stock markets and the economy.

Watch the video below or read the complete summary for a recap of our thoughts and reflections on the year and what we are paying attention to in the near future.

As if normal volatility of an election year wasn’t enough, the Covid-19 pandemic continues to linger and cases are back on the rise since early September. There is massive uncertainty over the spread of the virus, vaccine trials, business solvency, Americans’ jobs, and government stimulus that will continue to weigh on stock prices.

Despite the volatility and uncertainty surrounding investors through the first three quarters of the year, the performance of some major asset classes remain positive. Large U.S. stocks have ridden the backs of technology and consumer discretionary stocks (or should I say Apple (AAPL) and Amazon (AMZN)?) bringing the S&P 500 to +5.57% through quarter-end (since 12/31/2019). U.S. bonds represented by the Barclays U.S. Aggregate Index are up almost +6.8%, and gold is having a banner year up over +24%.  Not everything is rising though. International developed, emerging markets, and small-cap stocks remain in negative territory with three months of trading to go.

Apples are in season…

Our favorite Apple IOS14 update is the new home screen widgets. It is likely tempting to add the large widget to watch updates on the S&P 500, Dow, and NASDAQ performance with every phone notification throughout the day. We understand you watch these numbers too, particularly during the volatility of 2020. Simply watching index returns doesn’t tell the entire story though. In previous years, the largest 5 to 10 companies’ performance contributed to the S&P’s annual return much less than they have this year. As of September 30th, the top five most heavily weighted stocks within the S&P 500 year-to-date (YTD) performance was 35%, with the overall YTD S&P 500 (price return) at 4%. The 495 other companies included in the S&P 500 returned -3% collectively.

The domination in returns has come from household names such as Facebook, Amazon, Apple. Alphabet(Google) and Microsoft.  While many fear this rhymes with the technology bubble of 1999, these companies are in very different positions than they were at that time.  Heavy cash on the balance sheets and lower Price to Earnings ratios (P/E ratios) now versus then speak to some of these differences.

Politics and Pandemics too intertwined for comfort…

The headlines to watch during these final months of 2020 will be centered on two topics: the November election, and the Covid-19 pandemic. We’ll be watching both closely and constantly reviewing new information as it pertains (or doesn’t) to your financial plans.

One major source of uncertainty following the elections will be any potential new tax code, but there may be less to worry about than you’d think when it comes to potential changes. We are assuming a tight election, and, while we are not in the business of predicting elections, we can gain insight from the past when it comes to potential tax changes. If President Trump remains in office, we’d be looking at 4 more years of the same, but even if the Democratic Party sweeps the executive and legislative branches of government – it may be a tough sell to raise taxes amid a pandemic/recession. Despite a historically low tax environment, there are a lot of businesses that are already struggling and unemployment remains high. While unemployment is off of its record high near 15%, it is still sitting near a historically high measure of 7.9%. This does not favor tax increases. Looking back to when President Obama took office in ’09, we were coming out of the Great Financial Crisis and it took years before there were any significant tax hikes.

More political uncertainty: the Supreme Court justice nomination following the passing of Supreme Court Justice, Ruth Bader Ginsburg. The Senate is currently controlled by Republicans, and they are pushing to get President Trump’s nomination, Amy Coney Barrett, sworn in before the election. The only problem is, Covid-19 may get in the way of a Senate vote as well, with several key members testing positive for Covid-19. With President and First Lady Trump testing positive for the virus, Washington D.C. is on high-alert to protect the health and safety of our government officials. Uncertainty about when the Senate will be able to meet and continue the nomination process may cause some market volatility.

As always, we urge you to check out our blog where we have wrote on many of these topics repeatedly over the years. History doesn’t repeat itself, but it often rhymes, and it has told us that staying the course despite ever-looming market uncertainty has paid off time and time again. This may feel even harder during an election year, but remember that history has shown political parties have no bearing on long-term stock performance. Now stay healthy, stay invested, and go vote!

Angela Palacios, CFP®, AIF®, is a partner and Director of Investments at Center for Financial Planning, Inc.® She chairs The Center Investment Committee and pens a quarterly Investment Commentary.

The foregoing information has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but we do not guarantee that it is accurate or complete, it is not a statement of all available data necessary for making an investment decision, and it does not constitute a recommendation. Any opinions are those of the author, and not necessarily those of Raymond James. Investing involves risk and you may incur a profit or loss regardless of strategy selected, including diversification and asset allocation. Keep in mind that individuals cannot invest directly in any index, and index performance does not include transaction costs or other fees, which will affect actual investment performance. Individual investor's results will vary. The S&P 500 is an unmanaged index of 500 widely held stocks that is generally considered representative of the U.S. stock market. The Bloomberg Barclays US Aggregate Bond Index is a broad-based flagship benchmark that measures the investment grade, US dollar-denominated, fixed-rate taxable bond market. Any opinions are those of Angela Palacios, and not necessarily those of Raymond James. Expression of opinion are as of this date and are subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that these statement, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct. Individual investor’s results will vary. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Rebalancing a non-retirement account could be a taxable event that may increase your tax liability The forgoing is not a recommendation to buy or sell any individual security or any combination of securities. The companies engaged in the communications and technology industries are subject to fierce competition and their products and services may be subject to rapid obsolescence. Gold is subject to the special risks associated with investing in precious metals, including but not limited to: price may be subject to wide fluctuation; the market is relatively limited; the sources are concentrated in countries that have the potential for instability; and the market is unregulated.

How Are Fearless Billionaires On The Campaign Trail?

Contributed by: Jaclyn Jackson, CAP®

If you thought this blog was about Donald Trump, your leg was just pulled. This candidate’s name starts with a “J.B.”, that’s right – Jeff Bezos (pulled again). On August 26th, the Amazon Founder and CEO became the first person ever worth an unprecedented $200 billion. This happened just before 2020 required the best August returns since 1984 and US markets recovered from deep pandemic-facilitated lows by exceeding mid-February pre-pandemic highs. All the while in true Tale of Two Cities form, a global pandemic has millions of Americans reconciling above-average unemployment rates and highlighted a variety of social disparities through seemingly targeted infection rates. Amazon, specifically, has received unfavorable headlines during the pandemic as essential workers strike against the alleged lack of virus-related safety precautions taken by the company and unsatisfactory compensation.

Democratizing Capitalism

Although wealth inequality isn’t new, the pandemic amplified its implications. (As of writing this) Presidential elections are approaching. Like most elections, economics lead the ballot. Observing recent history’s populist-leaning politics, Pershing Square Capital founder and billionaire hedge fund manager, Bill Ackman suggests democratizing capitalism in his latest letter to investors. In the letter, he touted capitalism as the best system for maximizing the size of the economic pie. Yet, warns the lack of wage growth for most Americans facilitates Black Swan-like risks for investors as lower/middle-income Americans advocate radical change that overhauls modern capitalism. Essentially, social unrest poses a threat to investors. Ackman’s solution was creating programs that widen market participation (and subsequent gain participation) to individuals who can’t traditionally invest thereby restoring faith in capitalism. 

Aligning Interests

Which brings it back to Jeff Bezos. Many anticipate the CEO will follow Tesla and Apple’s lead, by splitting Amazon stock. On the surface, stock splits are superficial. Technically, they don’t equate to any value change for a company. However, stock splits have historically been used to signal a company’s strength or hint that something good might be on the horizon for the company. As illustrated by the latest Tesla and Apple stock splits, many investors take note and likely load up on company stock consequently boosting the company’s value.

So, what does Jeff Bezos splitting Amazon stock have to do with Bill Ackman’s thoughts on saving capitalism? Amazon is one of the few businesses to profit during the pandemic directly contrasting the experience of small business owners and the general public alike. It becomes more challenging for the average person to praise Jeff Bezos’ extraordinary wealth when their experience mirrors Amazon employees who are frustrated by the inability to work safely or receive adequate compensation. At the current stock price, many cannot join in on Amazon’s success. By lowering the individual stock price, a stock split increases access to a wider range of investors. More participants in Amazon’s meteoric rise could increase their customer base, increase customer loyalty, and even discourage (at least in public opinion) attempts to break up the company as it moves into a monopolistic stratosphere. Perhaps designing a way for Amazon’s essential workers to more easily invest in the company could solve compensation distress. Jeff Bezos wins the day by making Amazon stocks more accessible; he sets his business and himself up to potentially gain more wealth and with a wider range of investor participants, he gets buy-in from the average individual. Bezos’ success becomes the average person’s success and their interests align in capitalism; Ackman’s resolution in practice. 

No matter the political view, most Americans would agree that democracy is the blood and bone of our nation. Whether we are practicing democracy through voting or considering new ways to exercise democracy (as Bill Ackman explored), we are uplifting the country’s greatest strength.

Jaclyn Jackson, CAP® is a Portfolio Administrator at Center for Financial Planning, Inc.® She manages client portfolios and performs investment research.

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The forgoing is not a recommendation to buy or sell any individual security or any combination of securities. Be sure to contact a qualified professional regarding your particular situation before making any investment or withdrawal decision. The information contained in this blog does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. The information has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but we do not guarantee that the foregoing material is accurate or complete. Any opinions are those of Jaclyn Jackson and not necessarily those of Raymond James. Expressions of opinion are as of this date and are subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that these statements, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct. Investing involves risk and you may incur a profit or loss regardless of strategy selected. Individual investor's results will vary. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investments mentioned may not be suitable for all investors.

"So you want to talk about race" Center Book Club Discussion

Contributed by: Center for Financial Planning, Inc.®

Founded in the midst of quarantine, the Center team stayed connected with its first ever book club. Not only has COVID-19 changed our reality, but so has the Black Lives Matter movement. We desired to further educate ourselves on that topic by reading So you want to talk about race by Ijeoma Oluo.

Oluo is a Seattle-based writer, speaker, and (self-proclaimed) Internet Yeller. She was raised by a white single mother and became a single mother herself to two mixed-race sons at a young age.

In the book, Oluo argues that America's political, economic, and social systems are systematically racist. She provides advice for discussing race-related subjects. While published in 2018, the book received renewed attention following the killing of George Floyd in May 2020.

Some Center Team members share their thoughts below:

“A much greater appreciation for how the lived experiences of others are so often very different than my own and a better understanding and greater urgency for how to work together to make the world a better and more equitable place.” -- Lauren Adams, CFA®, CFP®

“The intention of our actions (although important) is not as important as the impact of our actions. We are all privileged in some way, whether it be our education, citizenship, having loving parents, or even food to eat. It is not necessarily a bad thing. We can use it to help others. And we learned about the theory of intersectionality which is the interconnected nature of social categorizations such as race, class, and gender as they apply to any given individual or group.” -- Gerri Harmer

“I really enjoyed discussing the book! It required me to stretch myself and think about difficult topics on a personal level. This endeavor was made more comfortable by hearing from others that they were experiencing similar feelings.” -- Jeanette LoPiccolo, CFP®

“I’ve gained a much deeper awareness and understanding for those different than myself. What we say and the choices we make impact the future of those who start with disadvantages. If we work together to take action now, we can make this world a more diverse, dynamic, creative and inclusive place where we’re all on an equal playing field.” -- Sandra D. Adams, CFP®

“The 400 years of oppression that some people in our “fair and equitable” society endured….is shocking. Today, it’s still not fair or equal; there is a significant underlying bias in society that we have not yet found an appropriate remedy for.” -- Matthew E. Chope, CFP®

If you’re looking to challenge your perspective, give this a read! Well, that’s a wrap for the first Center Book Club reading. Until next time!

Any opinions are those of the professionals at Center for Financial Planning, Inc and not necessarily those of Raymond James.

Why COVID-19 Has Clients Postponing Retirement

Contributed by: Sandra Adams, CFP®

Going into 2020, none of us had any idea what we were in for. The coronavirus came upon us like an unanticipated hurricane. It is sticking around much longer than anticipated and is threatening to be around indefinitely. Many of us are on the verge of “pandemic fatigue”! While some have felt a short-term economic impact, any longer-term impacts will likely show themselves later.

For most clients nearing retirement, their goals are very much on track given the minimal impact of the virus on investment markets, employment, and savings SO FAR in 2020. However, the bigger concern for most clients looking at retirement is what their actual retired life may look like in the new world of COVID-19. 

Many clients have been living in a world of quarantine. They are working remotely, socializing less, and communicating mostly via phone/video. The new world lacks the pleasures of travel, dining out, and group events. While this eases the budget, it’s not the life anyone desires to live every day in retirement. The retirement dream that clients work so hard to achieve is one in which they are traveling, visiting family, socializing with friends, volunteering, pursuing hobbies outside of the home, maybe taking classes, and/or pursuing a new job or career. Generally, none of these are activities that will be COVID-compliant, at least until the virus is under control or a vaccine is developed. For this reason, several clients have expressed the desire to delay their retirement date and continue working if we are still living in a COVID world. After all, “Why would I want to retire and sit at home in quarantine?”

As long as clients are working towards retirement, important financial goals should be:

• Continue contributions to employer retirement plans

• Build reserve savings to serve as a startup for future retirement cash flow

• Carefully track budget cash flow to make sure you have a good sense of what you will need for retirement income

• Reduce debt as much as possible before retirement

Its times like this that I’m reminded that for many, the non-financial side of the retirement decision is just as important as the financial side. 

If you or someone you know is approaching retirement and would benefit from having a conversation with one of our financial planners, please let us know. We are always happy to help!

Sandra Adams, CFP®, is a Partner and CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™ professional at Center for Financial Planning, Inc.® and holds a CeFT™ designation. She specializes in Elder Care Financial Planning and serves as a trusted source for national publications, including The Wall Street Journal, Research Magazine, and Journal of Financial Planning.

Are Your Employer Benefits Meeting Your Needs?

Contributed by: Robert Ingram, CFP®

Fall is upon us, but just around the corner is the 2021 Open Enrollment Period. The window to select next year’s benefits at your employer runs from Nov. 1st through Dec. 15th. In the past, you may not have given these selections much thought, but this year, the impact of COVID-19 may have you thinking about the many “What if...” situations. Like, “What happens if my family and I get sick?” or “What happens if I'm out of work for a long time?” Understanding your options helps ensure that you're taking full advantage of the insurance plans and other benefits. Here are 5 reasons you should review your benefits and coverages:

1. Do you have the right health insurance coverage?

Most employer health and wellness benefits have at least a couple of health insurance options, such as PPO or HMO plans. Today, available choices usually include a type of High Deductible Health Plan (HDHP) eligible for a Health Savings Account (HSA). With a higher deductible, you will be responsible for a greater amount of medical costs out-of-pocket before the insurance plan begins to pay (compared to a more traditional lower-deductible plan). In addition to the opportunity to contribute to an HSA, the higher deductible plans usually have lower premiums than plans with lower deductibles. However, you should focus on the total potential costs, including premiums, deductibles, co-pays, and annual out-of-pocket maximums. 

When deciding which plan makes the most sense, you would normally consider your health history and the services you might expect to use. Generally, the greater your expected medical costs each year, the more likely you benefit from a lower deductible plan. You also should consider how you want to manage your health care (are you comfortable staying within a specific network of doctors and hospitals, or do you want greater flexibility?). Some health plans, for example, will require higher co-pays for services provided outside of their direct network.

The COVID-19 pandemic has made it even more important to understand your coverage options and make decisions accordingly. Some questions to ask when evaluating insurance plans could include:

• If I get sick and need treatment, what restrictions does the plan have on services? What hospitals or outpatient facilities can I use?

• Are there any deductibles waivers for COVID-related services or office visits?

• How does prescription drug coverage handle any special treatments or therapeutics?

2. Do you need to add young adult children to your health insurance plan?

Under the Affordable Care Act, health plans that offer dependent child coverage must allow children to be covered under the parent’s family plan until they reach age 26. With the widespread disruptions in the economy, many young adults may have lost their employer coverage or face other cost-prohibitive options. 

On plans that cover dependents, you can add your child under age 26 to your plan as a dependent even if he or she:

• is not living with you

• is not financially dependent on you

• is married

• is eligible to enroll in their own insurance plan

3. Strengthen your life insurance and disability insurance protections.

Employer benefit plans offering life insurance typically provide a basic amount of coverage at no additional cost to you, such as an amount equal to your base salary. Many plans will allow you to purchase additional coverage (supplemental life insurance) up to a maximum dollar amount or a multiple of your salary, for example, up to five times your salary.  

Often there is additional spousal coverage you can purchase as well.

While the supplemental and spousal insurance has an extra cost that can increase as the employee/spouse ages, employer group insurance tends to be less costly than individual policies and can provide a good base of coverage. When considering your life insurance needs, here are some tips.

Many employers also provide a group disability insurance benefit. This can include short-term coverage (typically covering up to 90 or 180 days) and/or long-term disability (covering a specified number of years or up through a certain age such as 65). Disability benefits often cover a base percentage of income such as 50% or 60% of salary, many times at no cost with some plans offering supplemental coverage for an additional premium charge.   

As with the life insurance benefits, group disability may not completely replace your lost income, but it can provide a solid foundation of coverage that you should maximize.

4. Your retirement plan (401k, 403b, etc.) might need a tune-up.

Start with contributions to your account. 

• Are you contributing up to the maximum employer match, if offered? Take advantage of free money!

• Are you making the maximum annual contribution (elective deferral)? The basic limit was $19,500 in 2020.

• If you can save more after maximizing your elective deferrals, does your plan offer separate after-tax contributions? This could be a way to leverage additional Roth IRA conversion opportunities.

Review your investment allocation. Do you have the appropriate balance of stocks, bonds, cash, and other asset categories in your portfolio given your timeframe and tolerance for risk? After experiencing the plunging financial markets of March and the sharp rebound in the stock market through the summer, you may have concentrations in certain assets that are above or below your desired target. This could be a good time to rebalance your portfolio back to those targets.

5. Michigan’s auto insurance no-fault law changed in July.

Okay, while your auto insurance is probably not part of your employer group benefits, now would be a good time to review your auto insurance coverage along with your other benefits. 

Earlier this July, legislation went into effect here in Michigan that changed the no-fault insurance law. One of the main changes related to Personal Injury Protection (PIP) is the part covering medical bills and lost wages if you are injured in an accident. Residents can now select different levels of PIP, whereas Michigan law had previously required insurance covering unlimited medical benefits for the lifetime of the injured person. Read more about the Michigan insurance reform.

If your policy has been renewed since July 1st, you may have chosen a specific PIP level or continued a default option for unlimited coverage. Selecting a lower level of PIP can lower your premiums depending on the limit you choose. However, it's important to note that carrying a higher level of protection could still make sense for many people and could be worth the extra cost. 

Having a conversation with your insurance agent and financial advisor about the potential risks versus cost savings can help you decide if changes to your policy are appropriate. 

As always, if we can be a resource for you, please let us know. 

Robert Ingram, CFP®, is a CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™ professional at Center for Financial Planning, Inc.® With more than 15 years of industry experience, he is a trusted source for local media outlets and frequent contributor to The Center’s “Money Centered” blog.

2 Reasons Why Your Investment Portfolio Needs Adjusting

Contributed by: Abigail Fischer

It’s historically proven, the age-old advice urging you to stick with your investment plan through thick and thin. The Center preaches this, especially during market volatility. But maybe your financial advisor has recently suggested making a change in your investment plan. How could this be? Well, there are two possible reasons: either your circumstances changed or new information emerged about the market.

1. Your circumstances changed

• Retiring in 2020 or the near future? Wow, what a way to end your career, and congratulations! There may be a case to make your portfolio more conservative so that when volatility hits, you see less downturn than you might in a more aggressive model. Read this if you’re concerned about your 401k balance fluctuation. 

• Big purchase ahead? Sticking with your investment plan is a long-term view. When you’ve set your sights on a making a big purchase soon, consider taking a portion of your portfolio to cash or a short-term fixed income fund.

• Your paycheck comes from your portfolio? Consider taking the next six months of expenses in cash or a short-term fixed-income fund so that when you hear market news, you can sleep soundly knowing your next portfolio paycheck will not be affected.

None of these apply but you’re unsure about your portfolio allocation? Read this.

2. New information about the market

• As interest rates fell in March, we saw a short-term opportunity to tactically overweight the Strategic Income portion of the Fixed Income category in some portfolio models. Generally, Strategic Income funds invest in high-yield bonds, emerging market debt, international bonds, asset, and mortgage-backed securities. This short term strategy was sought out by our Investment Committee as we aim to add value to our clients’ portfolios during market volatility. We closely tracked the Bank of America US High Yield Index Option-Adjusted Spread and set a point where we would tactically switch the allocation back to short and long term fixed income funds. Here’s one of the charts we watched:

Ice Data Indices, LLC, ICE BofA US High Yield Index Option-Adjusted Spread [BAMLH0A0HYM2], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/BAMLH0A0HYM2, August 28, 2020.

• The Investment Committee saw an opportunity in the gold market. Gold is primarily seen as a hedge against inflation risk within the US Market. As the Federal Reserve printed cash at a rapid pace in April 2020, the value of the US Dollar slipped and many investors flocked to gold as a hedging measure. Gold can also be seen as a consistent store of value during a choppy period of high unemployment and low business activity; its long-term value has steadily increased.

The fiduciary standard of seeking return while managing risk is our priority. A strong investment portfolio compliments a clear financial plan. As your circumstances change and the market gives us more information, we are committed to your personal financial goals within the financial planning process. As always, please contact your Center Financial Planner for advice on your specific situation.

Abigail Fischer is an Investment Research Associate and Investment Representative at Center for Financial Planning, Inc.® She gained invaluable knowledge as a Client Service Associate, giving her an edge as she transitions into her new role in the Investment Department.

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This market commentary is provided for information purposes only and is not a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. Any opinions are those of the author and not necessarily those of Raymond James. There is no guarantee that these statements, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct. Investing involves risk and you may incur a profit or loss regardless of strategy selected. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Diversification and asset allocation do not ensure a profit or protect against a loss. Investing in commodities is generally considered speculative because of the significant potential for investment loss. Their markets are likely to be volatile and there may be sharp price fluctuations even during periods when prices overall are rising. Gold is subject to the special risks associated with investing in precious metals, including but not limited to: price may be subject to wide fluctuation; the market is relatively limited; the sources are concentrated in countries that have the potential for instability; and the market is unregulated.

Do You Know Why 2020 Is A Critical Year For Tax Planning?

Contributed by: Nick Defenthaler, CFP®, RICP®

It’s been quite the year, hasn’t it? 2020 has certainly kicked off the decade in an interesting fashion. In addition to the coronavirus quarantine, it’s also a year that required a significant amount of tax planning and forward-thinking. Why is this year so unique as it relates to taxes? Great question, let's dive in!

SECURE Act

The SECURE ACT was passed in late December 2019 and became effective in 2020. The most meaningful part of the SECURE Act was the elimination of the stretch IRA provision for most non-spouse IRA beneficiaries. Non-spouse beneficiaries now only have a 10-year window to deplete the account which will likely result in the beneficiary being thrust into a higher tax bracket. This update has made many retirees re-think their distribution planning strategy as well as reconsider who they are naming as beneficiaries on certain accounts, given the beneficiary’s current and future tax bracket. Click HERE to read more about this change. 

CARES Act 

Fast forward to March, the CARES Act was passed. This critical stimulus bill provided direct payments to most Americans, extended and increased unemployment benefits, and outlined the parameters for the Paycheck Protection Program for small business relief. Also, another important aspect of the CARES Act was the suspension of Required Minimum Distributions (RMDs) for 2020. This isn’t the first time this has occurred. Back in 2009, RMDs were suspended to provide relief for retirees given the “Great Recession” and financial crisis. However, the reality is that for most Americans who are over 70 1/2 and subject to RMDs (RMDs now begin at age 72 starting in 2020 due to the SECURE Act), actually need the distributions for cash flow purposes. That said, for those retirees who have other income sources (ex. Social Security, large pensions, etc.) and investment accounts to cover cash flow and don’t necessarily “need” their RMD for the year for cash flow, 2020 presents a unique planning opportunity. Not having the RMD from your IRA or 401k flow through to your tax return as income could reduce your overall income tax bracket and also lower your future Medicare premiums (Part B & D premiums are based on your Modified Adjusted Gross Income). We have seen plenty of cases, however, that still make the case for the client to take their RMD or at least a portion of it given their current and projected future tax bracket. There is certainly no “one size fits all” approach with this one and coordination with your financial planner and tax professional is ideal to ensure the best strategy is employed for you. 

Lower Income In 2020

Income for many Americans is lower this year for a myriad of reasons. For those clients still working, it could be due to a pay cut, furlough, or layoff. Unfortunately, we have received several dozen calls and e-mails from clients informing us that they have been affected by one of the aforementioned events. In anomaly years where income is much less than the norm, it presents an opportunity to accelerate income (typically though IRA distributions, Roth IRA conversions, or capital gain harvesting). Every situation is unique so you should chat with your planner about these strategies if you have unfortunately seen a meaningful reduction in pay. 

Thankfully, the market has seen an incredible recovery since mid-March and most diversified portfolios are very close to their January 1st starting balances. However, income generated in after-tax investment accounts through dividends and interest are down a bit given dividend cuts by large corporations and because of our historically low interest rate environment. We were also were very proactive in March and April with a strategy known as tax-loss harvesting, so your capital gain exposure may be muted this year. Many folks will even have losses to carry over into 2021 and beyond which can help offset other forms of income. For these reasons, accelerating income could also be something to consider. 

Higher Tax Rates In 2021, A Very Possible Scenario 

Given current polling numbers, a Democratic sweep seems like a plausible outcome. If this occurs, many analysts are predicting that current, historically low rates could expire effective January 1, 2021. We obviously won’t know how this plays out until November, but if tax rates are expected to see a meaningful increase from where there are now, accelerating income should be explored. Converting money from a Traditional IRA to a Roth IRA or moving funds from a pre-tax, Traditional IRA to an after-tax investment account (assuming you are over the age of 59 1/2 to avoid a 10% early withdrawal penalty) eliminates the future uncertainty of the taxes on those dollars converted or distributed. Ever since the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act was passed in late 2017 and went into law in 2018, we have been taking a close look at these strategies for clients as the low tax rates are set to expire on January 1, 2026. However, if taxes have a very real chance of going back to higher levels as soon as 2021, a more aggressive income acceleration plan could be prudent. 

As you can see, there have been many moving parts and items to consider related to tax planning for 2020. While we spend a great deal of our time managing the investments within your portfolio, our team is also looking at how all of these new laws and ever-changing tax landscape can impact your wealth as well. In our opinion, good tax planning doesn’t mean getting your current year’s tax liability as low as humanly possible. It’s about looking at many different aspects of your plan, including your current income, philanthropy goals, future income, and tax considerations as well as considering the individuals or organizations that will one day inherit your wealth and helping you pay the least amount of tax over your entire lifetime.

Nick Defenthaler, CFP®, RICP®, is a Partner and CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™ professional at Center for Financial Planning, Inc.® Nick specializes in tax-efficient retirement income and distribution planning for clients and serves as a trusted source for local and national media publications, including WXYZ, PBS, CNBC, MSN Money, Financial Planning Magazine and OnWallStreet.com.

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All investments are subject to risk. There is no assurance that any investment strategy will be successful. Unless certain criteria are met, Roth IRA owners must be 59½ or older and have held the IRA for five years before tax-free withdrawals are permitted. Additionally, each converted amount may be subject to its own five-year holding period. Converting a traditional IRA into a Roth IRA has tax implications. Investors should consult a tax advisor before deciding to do a conversion. Raymond James and its advisors do not offer tax or legal advice. You should discuss any tax or legal matters with the appropriate professional.

3 Types Of Practical Disability Coverage You Should Know

Contributed by: Josh Bitel, CFP®

According to the Social Security Administration, studies have shown that just over 25% of today’s 20 year-olds will become disabled at some point before reaching age 67. Wow! This is a pretty staggering statistic – these odds are far greater than a premature death, which is what life insurance is typically purchased to protect against. However, often when we discuss disability insurance with clients, we find that it’s an area of confusion. Many aren’t even sure if they have coverage or they may believe that Social Security will kick in and be enough. For most of us, especially if you’re in the early stages of the “accumulation mode” of your career, your earnings power is most likely your largest asset both now and into the foreseeable future. A disability can wreak havoc on this “asset” which is essentially why disability insurance is purchased. Let’s look at the basic types of coverage:

1. Short-Term Vs. Long-Term Disability

Long-term disability typically has what’s known as an “elimination period” of how many days must pass before benefits begin. This is often called the “time deductible” of the policy which in many cases is 90-120 days. Benefits can payout up until age 65, however, most policies have a stated period of time where benefits would be payable. To help bridge this gap of coverage, a short-term disability policy can come in handy because benefits will usually begin within a week or two of disability and continue for up to one year, although benefits typically last between three to six months. Short-term disability policies can be a great tool to preserve your emergency cash fund, typically at a somewhat reasonable cost. 

2. Group Coverage

As with life insurance, many employers offer a form of disability insurance to their employees as part of their benefits package. Sometimes the employer will pay for the premium in full and other times the employee will have the option to pay for premiums (fully or partially). You may be asking yourself, “Why would an employee want to pay for the group coverage instead of having the employer foot the bill?” Great question, with very important ramifications! If the employer pays your premiums in full, the entire amount of your benefit if needed (typically between 50% and 60% of your pay up to certain limits) would be taxable. If you as the employee were paying for the premiums in full and you needed the coverage, benefits paid out would NOT be taxable. If you were only paying a portion of the total premium, say 20%, only 20% of the benefits paid would be non-taxable to you as the employee. The tax treatment of benefits will have a large impact on the net amount of benefit that hits your bank account so it’s important to understand who’s paying for what if you have access to a group disability policy at work.

3. Individual Coverage

As the name implies, individual coverage is purchased by you through an insurance company – the policy is not offered through your employer. A major benefit of purchasing an individual policy is that the coverage is portable, meaning you can take it with you if you change jobs because it’s not tied to your company’s benefits package (most group policies are non-portable). Another advantage (or disadvantage depending on how you look at it), is that you are paying for the coverage in full so if benefits are needed, they will not be taxable to you. With an individual policy, you have control over selecting the definition of disability that your policy uses (any occupation, own occupation, etc.) and you’d also have the option to add any additional features to the policy, usually at an additional cost.

In this blog, we’ve merely scratched the surface on disability coverage. As I mentioned, it is often one of the most overlooked parts of a client’s financial plan and coverage types, despite its high probability and significant risk of long-term financial loss. At a minimum, check with your employer to see if group coverage is offered (both long-term and short-term) and consult with your financial planner on whether or not it is sufficient or if additional coverage would be recommended. 

Josh Bitel, CFP® is an Associate Financial Planner at Center for Financial Planning, Inc.® He conducts financial planning analysis for clients and has a special interest in retirement income analysis.

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The foregoing information has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but we do not guarantee that it is accurate or complete, it is not a statement of all available data necessary for making an investment decision, and it does not constitute a recommendation. Any opinions are those of the author and not necessarily those of Raymond James.

The Importance Of A QDRO In A Divorce

Contributed by: Jacki Roessler, CDFA®

It’s the end of an arduous divorce process. You and your spouse have agreed on parenting time, spousal support, and what to do with the house. It hasn’t been easy. You’re more than ready to sign the Judgment of Divorce and move on to the next phase of your life. 

As you’re signing all the documents, your attorney mentions that you need a QDRO and you should get it done sooner rather than later. You put it off. You’re not exactly sure what a QDRO is and you’re overwhelmed with helping your family adjust to its new normal.

To say this is a big mistake is a big understatement. Getting the QDRO (short for Qualified Domestic Relations Order) done needs to be at the top of every divorced spouse’s “Do it Now!” list. The longer the wait, the more the settlement is at risk because there’s a much greater chance something could go wrong. 

First things first, what is a QDRO and what is the harm in waiting? 

A QDRO is a legal document used to divide a qualified employer-sponsored retirement plan (i.e a 401(k), 403 (b), pension, etc…) under a divorce. Based on the federal law ERISA (Employee Retirement Income Security Act), the only way to divide a 401k type plan is with a QDRO. The Judgment of Divorce can’t be used for that purpose unless the terms of the QDRO are embedded in it. Furthermore, the only one with authority over “qualifying” a QDRO is the plan administrator. ERISA grants them ultimate decision-making authority. 

What can go wrong if there is a delay?

Where to begin? One common issue occurs when a 401(k) account owner takes a distribution, loan, or rollover before the QDRO is entered, thereby reducing or even eliminating the former spouse’s access to their share.

For example, John and Samantha divorced in 2019. Samantha was awarded 50% of John’s 401k account with Acme Widgets. She waited two years to retain an expert to prepare her QDRO. In the meantime, as a result of being laid off, John took a CARES Act distribution that liquidated his entire 401(k). Remember, the Judgment of Divorce is only binding on the parties; it’s not binding on third parties like insurance carriers, credit card companies, or plan administrators. Without a QDRO in place, Samantha didn’t have any legal right to the money in John’s 401(k) so the plan let him do what he wanted with it.

Now let’s suppose that Samantha only waited 3 months to get the QDRO prepared. John’s employer changed custodians and the new custodian no longer had a record of his account balance on the date of divorce. Surprisingly, account custodians aren’t required to maintain any historical records. In this case, the QDRO is rejected and the parties are left to negotiate what happens next.

Of course, no one wants to hire an attorney again and hash out a QDRO issue in front of the judge. Imagine how much worse it would be if someone has to take their ex-spouse’s estate to Court.

Consider the case of Mike and Carrie. Mike was to receive 50% of Carrie’s pension with General Motors. The QDRO wasn’t entered and Carrie died unexpectedly in an accident. Of course, her new spouse was named beneficiary and he was the one that began receiving survivor benefits on the pension. Mike wrote a letter to the plan and gave them a copy of his Judgment of Divorce which stated he was supposed to be the beneficiary. The Plan responded by telling him to get an attorney; they weren’t bound by the Judgment of Divorce. 

These are only a few of the many things that can go wrong when the parties wait to enter the QDRO. Once they leave the courthouse and they don’t have a QDRO in place, it’s almost as if a time bomb waiting to go off is hanging over their head. It’s possible nothing could go wrong, but if it does it could be disastrous. If you need a QDRO, make sure that it's at the top of your priority list. 

Jacki Roessler, CDFA®, is a Divorce Planner at Center for Financial Planning, Inc.® and Branch Associate, Raymond James Financial Services. With more than 25 years of experience in the field, she is a recognized leader in the area of Divorce Financial Planning.

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Raymond James and its advisors do not offer tax or legal advice. You should discuss any tax or legal advice matters with the appropriate professional.

Is Now The Time To Refinance Your Mortgage?

Contributed by: Kali Hassinger, CFP®, CDFA®

Long-term interest rates and thus mortgage rates have hit historical lows this month. This has been a continuing trend with mortgage interest rates hitting historical lows eight times in the last five months. This is partially due to the Fed’s aggressive purchasing of mortgage-backed securities since March.  

If you’re like many, you may be wondering if this is the right time to refinance. Although there are many benefits to refinancing, it’s important to be sure it’s appropriate given your current situation.

Here are some items to consider if you’re thinking of taking advantage of these once again, historically low mortgage rates:

• How long do you plan on staying in your home? There is a cost to refinancing. To justify the fees, you should be planning to stay in your home for at least another two to three years.

• What is more important to you: lowering your monthly payment or lowering the amount you pay over the life of the loan? Reducing the term of the loan, even if it means the payment will slightly increase, can significantly reduce the total interest paid!

• If you have an outstanding second mortgage or home equity line of credit, consider combining them into one loan with a fixed interest rate.

• If you have an adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM), now is a great time to move to a fixed rate to avoid payment fluctuations in the future.

• Consider a modest cash-out refinance to pay down high interest rate loans or debt.   

As with any major financial decision, such as a refinancing or a new home purchase, we encourage all of our clients to reach out to us before making a final decision. Please don’t hesitate to reach out if you’d like to talk through your options and see if changing your mortgage rate or term aligns with your overall financial plan and goals.

Kali Hassinger, CFP®, CDFA®, is a CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™ professional at Center for Financial Planning, Inc.® She has more than a decade of financial planning and insurance industry experience.

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Raymond James Financial Services and your Raymond James Financial Advisors do not solicit or offer residential mortgage products and are unable to accept any residential mortgage loan applications or to offer or negotiate terms of any such loan. You will be referred to a qualified Raymond James Bank employee for your residential mortgage lending needs.