Are You and Your Partner on the Same Retirement Page?

Matt Trujillo Contributed by: Matt Trujillo, CFP®

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Retirement and Longevity

Many couples don't agree on when, where, or how they'll spend their golden years.

When Fidelity Investments asked couples how much they need to have saved to maintain their current lifestyle in retirement, 52% said they didn't know. Over half the survey respondents – 51% – disagreed on the amount needed to retire, and 48% had differing answers when asked about their planned retirement age.*

In some ways, that's not surprising – many couples disagree on financial and lifestyle matters long before they've stopped working. However, adjustments can become more complicated in retirement when you've generally stopped accumulating wealth and have to focus more on controlling expenses and dealing with unexpected events.

Ultimately, the time to talk about and resolve any differences you have about retirement is well before you need to. Let's look at some key areas where couples need to find common ground.

When and Where

Partners often have different time frames for their retirements, an issue that can be exacerbated if they are significantly older. Sometimes, differing time frames are due to policies or expectations in their respective workplaces; sometimes, it's a matter of how long each one wants – or can physically continue – to work.

The retirement nest egg is also a factor here. If you're planning to downsize or move to a warmer location or nearer your children, that will also affect your timeline. There's no numerical answer (65 as a retirement age just isn't relevant in today's world), and this may be a moving target anyway. But you both need to have a general idea on when each is going to retire.

You also need to agree on where you're going to live because a mistake on this point can be very expensive to fix. If one of you is set on a certain location, try to take a long vacation (or several) there together and discuss how you each feel about living there permanently.

Your Lifestyle in Retirement

Some people see retirement as a time to do very little; others see it as the time to do everything they couldn't do while working. While these are individual choices, they'll affect both of you as well as your joint financial planning. After all, if there's a trip to Europe in your future, there's also a hefty expense in your future.

While you may not be able to (or want to) pin everything down precisely, partners should be in general agreement on how they're going to live in retirement and what that lifestyle will cost. You need to arrive at that expense estimate long before retirement while you still have time to make any changes required to reach that financial target.

Your Current Lifestyle

How much you spend and save now plays a significant role in determining how much you can accumulate and, therefore, how much you can spend in retirement. A key question: What tradeoffs (working longer, saving more, delaying Social Security) are you willing to make now to increase your odds of having the retirement lifestyle you want?

Examining your current lifestyle is also a good starting point for discussing how things might change in retirement. Are there expenses that will go away? Are there new ones that will pop up? If you're planning on working part-time or turning a hobby into a little business, should you begin planning for that now?

Retirement Finances

This is a significant topic, including items such as:

  • Monitoring and managing expenses

  • How much you can withdraw from your retirement portfolio annually

  • What your income sources will be

  • How long your money has to last (be sure to add a margin of safety)

  • What level of risk you can jointly tolerate

  • How much you plan to leave to others or to charity

  • How much you're going to set aside for emergencies

  • Who's going to manage the money, and what happens if they die first

... and the list goes on. You don't want to spend your retirement years worrying about money, but not planning ahead might ensure that you will. Talk about these subjects now.

Unknowns

"Expect the unexpected" applies all the way along the journey toward retirement, but perhaps even more strongly in our later years. What will your healthcare costs be, and how much will have to come out of your pocket? Will you or your spouse need long-term care, and should you purchase insurance to cover that? What happens if the market suffers a severe downturn right after you retire?

While you obviously can't plan precisely for an unknown, talking about what might happen and how you'd respond will make things easier if the unexpected does occur. Included here is the reality that one of you will likely outlive the other, so your estate planning should be done together, and the day-to-day manager of your finances should be sure that their counterpart can take over when needed.

Communication is vital, especially when it comes to something as important as retirement. Almost all of us will have to make some tradeoffs and adjustments (as we do throughout our relationships), and it's important to remember that the earlier you discuss and negotiate what those are going to be, the better your chances of achieving the satisfying retirement you've both worked so hard to achieve.

*2021 Fidelity Investments Couples & Money Study

Matthew Trujillo, CFP®, is a Partner and CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™ professional at Center for Financial Planning, Inc.® A frequent blog contributor on topics related to financial planning and investment, he has more than a decade of industry experience.

Securities offered through Raymond James Financial Services, Inc. Member FINRA/SIPC. Investment advisory services offered through Center for Financial Planning, Inc.® Center for Financial Planning, Inc.® is not a registered broker/dealer and is independent of Raymond James Financial Services.

The foregoing information has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but we do not guarantee that it is accurate or complete, it is not a statement of all available data necessary for making an investment decision, and it does not constitute a recommendation. Any opinions are those of the author, and not necessarily those of Raymond James.

The Widow’s Penalty: Lower Income, Higher Taxes

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A newly widowed example client, whom we'll call "Judy," receives communication from Medicare that her Part B and D premiums are significantly increasing from the prior year. To make matters worse, she also notices that she's now in a much higher tax bracket when filing her most recent tax return. What happened? Now that Judy's husband is deceased, she is receiving less in Social Security and pension income. Her total income has decreased, so why would she have to pay more tax and Medicare premiums? Unfortunately, she's a victim of what's known as the "widow's penalty."

Less Income and More Taxes. What Gives?

Simply put, the widow's penalty is when a surviving spouse ends up paying more taxes on less income after the death of their spouse. This happens when a widow or widower starts filing as a single filer the year after their spouse's death.

When the first spouse dies, the surviving spouse typically sees a reduction in income. While the surviving spouse will continue to receive the greater of the two social security benefits, they will no longer receive the lower benefit. In addition, it's also very likely that the surviving spouse will either entirely or partially lose income tied only to the deceased spouse (ex., employment income, annuity payments, or pensions with reduced or no survivor benefits). Depending on how much income was tied to the deceased spouse, the surviving spouse's fixed income could see a sizeable decrease. At the same time, the surviving spouse starts receiving less income, and they find themself subject to higher taxes.

With some unique exceptions, the surviving spouse is required to start filing taxes as single instead of as married, filing jointly in the year following their spouse's death. In 2024, that means they will hit the 22% bracket at only $47,150 of taxable income. Married filers do not reach the 22% bracket until they have more than $94,300 of income. To make matters worse, the standard deduction the widow will receive will also be cut in half. In 2024, for a married couple (both over 65), their standard deduction will be $32,300. A single filer (over the age of 65) will only have a $16,500 deduction! Unfortunately, even with less income hitting the tax return, widowed tax filers commonly end up paying higher taxes due to the compression of tax brackets and the dramatic standard deduction decrease for single filers.

Medicare Premiums Increase

Tax brackets are not the only place surviving spouses are penalized. Like the hypothetical example above, many surviving spouses see their Medicare premiums increase even though their income has decreased because of how the income-related monthly adjusted amount (IRMAA) is calculated (click HERE to visit our dedicated Medicare resource page). Whereas there is no surcharge until a married couple filing jointly reaches an income of $206,000, single filers with a modified adjusted gross income (MAGI) of more than $103,000 are required to pay a surcharge on their Medicare premiums. This means that a couple could have an income of $127,000 and not be subject to the Medicare IRMAA surcharge. However, if the surviving spouse now has income over $106,000, their premium will increase by almost $1,000 per year. In this same example, the widow could now be in the 22% bracket (as compared to the 12% bracket with $120k of income filing jointly) and be paying approximately $3,600 more in federal tax.

Proactive Planning

Short of remarrying, there is no way to avoid the widow's penalty. However, if your spouse has recently passed away, there may be some steps you can take to minimize your total tax liability.

For most widows, the year their spouse dies will be the last year they will be allowed to use the higher married filing jointly tax brackets and standard deduction. In some cases, it can make sense to strategically realize income during the year of death to minimize the surviving spouse's lifetime tax bill. A surviving spouse might do this by converting savings from a Traditional IRA to a Roth IRA while they are still subject to the married filing jointly rates.

Let's look at a hypothetical scenario with a couple we'll call John and Mary. After several years in a long-term care assisted living facility, John sadly passed away at age 85. Because John and Mary did not have long-term care insurance, they had sizeable out-of-pocket medical expenses that resulted in a significant medical deduction in the year of John's passing. Several months after her husband's passing, over $100,000 was converted from her IRA to a Roth IRA. Because this was the last year she could file jointly on her taxes and had the significant medical deduction for the year John passed, Mary only paid an average tax rate of 10% on the $100,000 that was converted. As we stand here today, Mary would now be filing single and find herself in the 24% tax bracket (which will likely increase to 28% in 2026 as our current low tax rates expire at the end of 2025).

The widow's penalty should be on every married couple's radar. It's possible that while both spouses are living, their tax rates will always remain the same, as we've highlighted above. Unless both spouses pass away within a very short period of time from one another, higher taxes and Medicare premiums are likely inevitable. However, proper planning can help dramatically reduce the impact of this penalty on your plan.

Nick Defenthaler, CFP®, RICP®, is a Partner and CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™ professional at Center for Financial Planning, Inc.® Nick specializes in tax-efficient retirement income and distribution planning for clients and serves as a trusted source for local and national media publications, including WXYZ, PBS, CNBC, MSN Money, Financial Planning Magazine and OnWallStreet.com.

Securities offered through Raymond James Financial Services, Inc., member FINRA/SIPC. Center for Financial Planning, Inc is not a registered broker/dealer and is independent of Raymond James Financial Services Investment advisory services are offered through Center for Financial Planning, Inc. The foregoing information has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but we do not guarantee that it is accurate or complete, it is not a statement of all available data necessary for making an investment decision, and it does not constitute a recommendation. Any opinions are those of Nick Defenthaler, CFP®, RICP® and not necessarily those of Raymond James.

Raymond James and its advisers do not offer tax or legal advice. You should discuss any tax or legal matters with the appropriate professional.

These examples are hypothetical illustrations and are not intended to reflect any actual outcome. they are for illustrative purposes only. Individual cases will vary. Any information is not a complete summary or statement of all available data necessary for making an investment decision and does not constitute a recommendation. Prior to making any investment decision, you should consult with your financial advisor about your individual situation.

Financially Preparing to Become a Pet Parent

Kelsey Arvai Contributed by: Kelsey Arvai, CFP®, MBA

The Center Contributed by: Nick Errer and Ryan O'Neal

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Typically, we celebrate National Pet Month in May and Pet Appreciation Week in the first week of June. Year-round, we acknowledge the love, joy, and companionship our furry, feathered, or shelled friends bring into our lives. We reflect on the importance of responsible pet ownership and acknowledge the profound impact that pets have on our well-being. 

To say that our pets make us happy is selling short the real physical and mental health benefits of pet ownership. The National Institute of Health (NIH) found that pet owners are encouraged by the motivation and social support provided by their pets and are more likely to adopt a physical exercise routine. Furthermore, pet ownership has been associated with lowered blood and cholesterol levels while increasing our levels of serotonin and dopamine. Although it is easy to focus on the positive effects our pets have on us, it is equally important to acknowledge the caretaking commitment and financial burden we are taking on. 

Be honest: Does your lifestyle allow room for a pet? Consider your lifestyle, work, family, financial, and housing situation. Does your situation support a healthy and happy environment for a pet?

According to the American Society for the Prevention of Cruelty to Animals, the average annual cost for dog and cat ownership lies at $1,391 and $1,149, respectively. This doesn't factor in other financial planning aspects, such as pet insurance and estate planning for your pets. Pet insurance can help cover the cost of medical care for your animals. Typical policies can cost around $60 per month for dogs and $30 per month for cats. Premiums will vary depending on your pet's age, breed, cost of services, where you live, and the policy you choose. Pet insurance isn't right for everyone, but it is helpful if you are struck with an unexpected medical expense which can cost over $1,000. Since most plans won't cover pre-existing conditions, starting as soon as possible is important. The alternative is to "self-insure" by paying out-of-pocket expenses that arise. As a guideline, an average pet insurance policy with a $5,000 annual coverage, a $250 deductible, and an 80% reimbursement level will cost about $50 per month in 2024, according to Forbes Advisor.

I always recommend that everyone have enough cash on hand in an emergency fund to cover a minimum of three to six months of living costs. Once you are a pet owner, you'll need to consider increasing the amount to include expenses for your pets. While pet ownership is a choice, once you have a pet, taking care of it is not.

According to a USA Today Blueprint Survey, some dog owners spend up to $376 per month on their dogs, or $4,512 per year. This includes all day-to-day expenses like food, supplies, grooming, routine vet care, insurance, training, and dog walking, but it also includes occasional costs such as boarding and vet care in case of illness.

Research breed characteristics – explore the unique needs of your potential pet and assess how it could impact your budget. Consider home insurance and rental fees (some home insurers may increase your premiums or choose not to cover you if you own certain dog breeds). If you become a dog owner, you may want to consider additional liability coverage in case of dog bites. If you rent, some landlords require additional "pet deposits" or "pet rent".

In support of National Pet Month, The Center partnered with two local nonprofits this past May to support rescue and caretaking efforts. As part of our commitment, we donated $1,000 each to Happy Paws Haven Co. and Almost Home Animal Rescue. These organizations provide care, comfort, and compassion to animals in need. We hope our contribution helps further their mission and brings comfort to our furry friends in search of forever homes.  

Kelsey Arvai, MBA, CFP® is an Associate Financial Planner at Center for Financial Planning, Inc.® She facilitates back office functions for clients.

Opinions expressed in the attached article are those of the authors and are not necessarily those of Raymond James. Securities offered through Raymond James Financial Services, Inc. Member FINRA/SIPC. Investment advisory services offered through Center for Financial Planning, Inc.® Center for Financial Planning, Inc.® is not a registered broker/dealer and is independent of Raymond James Financial Services.

You've inherited an IRA – Now What?

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Receiving an inheritance can be confusing and filled with mixed emotions. However, when inheriting a traditional IRA, the confusion can be compounded by the multitude of rules, regulations, and tax implications surrounding these accounts. How you manage the account in the future can depend on several factors, such as your relationship with the deceased and the age of the deceased at death.

You've Inherited an IRA from your Spouse

If you inherited an IRA from your spouse, and you are the sole beneficiary, you have several options on how to manage the account in the future. The first option is to simply allow the account to remain in your deceased spouse's name.  In this example, if your spouse hadn't yet reached RMD or Required Beginning Date age (as of right now, this is age 73, but it has changed several times in the last few years), you wouldn't need to begin taking Required Minimum Distributions (RMDs) until your spouse would have reached age 73. With this process, you will have additional elections to make regarding which life expectancy table will be used to determine your RMDs.

Spouses can also transfer the account assets into their own traditional IRA. This option is specific to spouses only. With this election, the account is treated no differently than an IRA established in your name. Required Minimum Distributions would not begin until your RMD age. 

However, if you want to access the funds earlier than 59.5 without a 10% tax penalty, it could make more sense to open a beneficiary IRA. This account will be subject to annual required distributions, but again, without a tax penalty.

You've Inherited an IRA from Someone Else

If you recently (since 2020) inherited an IRA from someone else, such as a parent, aunt, or uncle, and as long as they were more than ten years older than you, you will likely need to open an inherited IRA and distribute the entire account within ten years!

If the deceased was subject to Required Minimum Distributions before their death, you must also take an RMD each year (Note: This requirement has been waived in recent years but is set to begin in 2025.) Given that traditional IRA withdrawals, whether inherited or not, are subject to ordinary income tax, this can create significant tax implications for beneficiaries. Purposeful tax planning is essential to avoid unforeseen or forced distributions in later years.

The options discussed here are certainly not exhaustive, and rules differ for beneficiaries who are disabled, chronically ill, minors, or entities (as opposed to individuals). These differing rules also apply to instances in which the beneficiary is less than ten years younger than the deceased account holder.

If you've inherited an IRA and are looking for guidance on which option or planning path is best for you, we are here to help.

Kali Hassinger, CFP®, CSRIC® is a Financial Planning Manager and CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™ professional at Center for Financial Planning, Inc.® She has more than a decade of financial planning and insurance industry experience.

The information contained in this blog does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. The information has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but we do not guarantee that the foregoing material is accurate or complete. Any information is not a complete summary or statement of all available data necessary for making an investment decision and does not constitute a recommendation. Any opinions are those of Kali Hassinger, CFP®, CSRIC® and not necessarily those of Raymond James. There is no guarantee that these statements, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct. Every investor's situation is unique and you should consider your investment goals, risk tolerance and time horizon before making any investment. Prior to making an investment decision, please consult with your financial advisor about your individual situation. Raymond James and its advisors do not offer tax or legal advice. You should discuss any tax or legal matters with the appropriate professional.

When is the Right Time for a Family Meeting?

Sandy Adams Contributed by: Sandra Adams, CFP®

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In the context of our financial planning work with clients, family meetings can be scheduled for many different reasons. These meetings are often scheduled because something has changed, and the family needs to discuss a family transition or crisis. However, family meetings, like most planning, are most effective when done proactively — before a stressful life transition or crisis.

What does a proactive family meeting look like?

When we talk to clients about scheduling a family meeting with their children, what is the purpose? What is on the agenda?

Purpose(s):

One of the purposes of the meeting is to ensure that our clients’ children get to know us. They are most often the future decision-makers for their parents if anything happens with their health or decision-making ability in the future (as future powers of attorney, trustees, etc.), and it is always nice if they have met us and are comfortable contacting us when that time comes. Another purpose for the meeting is to communicate to the children the parents’ long-term plans and wishes and (if the parents are comfortable) review their overall assets, estate plan, and how everything works and will work in the future when and if needed.

Agenda Items:

The agenda is something that can change based on the family and based on the parent’s needs and desires. Some clients are comfortable going over their complete plan with their families, covering everything we would cover in our full annual review. Others want to keep things much higher level and explain their long-term plan and wishes without discussing specific assets and amounts.

No family meeting will look the same, but most clients and children leave feeling that they are valuable and are helpful to everyone involved to help plan for the future.

So, when is the right time for a family meeting? When it is needed. That means when a family transition or a crisis is looming, that is the right time. If you are part of a family that would like to be proactive and communicate your plan to your family in advance of a transition or crisis, then scheduling a family meeting with your financial advisor early as part of your retirement planning or early longevity planning may be the best time. In any case, there is no wrong time unless you never do it.

If you or someone you know is interested in scheduling a family meeting and has questions about the process, please let us know. We are always happy to help. Reach out to me at Sandy.Adams@CenterFinPlan.com

Sandra Adams, CFP®, is a Partner and CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™ professional at Center for Financial Planning, Inc.® and holds a CeFT™ designation. She specializes in Elder Care Financial Planning and serves as a trusted source for national publications, including The Wall Street Journal, Research Magazine, and Journal of Financial Planning.

The foregoing information has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but we do not guarantee that it is accurate or complete, it is not a statement of all available data necessary for making an investment decision, and it does not constitute a recommendation. Any opinions are those of Sandra D. Adams and not necessarily those of Raymond James.

Securities offered through Raymond James Financial Services, Inc. Member FINRA/SIPC. Investment advisory services offered through Center for Financial Planning, Inc. Center for Financial Planning, Inc.® is not a registered broker/dealer and is independent of Raymond James Financial Services.

Social Security Cost of Living Adjustment for 2025 and other Social Security Tax Updates!

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It was recently announced that the 2025 Cost of Living Adjustment for those receiving Social Security will be 2.5%. This amount reflects a steady decline from the 8.7% increase received in 2023 and the 3.2% received in 2024. The Cost of Living increase is calculated based on data from the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers, or CPI-W, from October 1st, 2023, through September 30th, 2024.

The Social Security taxable wage base will increase in 2025 from the current $168,600 to $176,100. This means employees will pay 6.2% of Social Security tax on the first $176,100 earned. That translates to $10,918 in tax paid for Social Security alone. Employers match the employee amount with an equal contribution. The Medicare tax remains at 1.45% on all income, with an additional .9% surtax for individuals earning over $200,000 and married couples filing jointly who earn over $250,000. This income level at which the surtax comes into play has remained unchanged since 2013. 

For those collecting Social Security, the taxable portion of their benefit can range from 0%, 50%, or 85% based on income:

  • For those filing single: If taxable income is between $25,000 and $34,000, they may have to pay income tax on 50% of their benefits. If income is more than $34,000, up to 85% of their benefits may be taxable.

  • For those filing a joint tax return: If combined income is between $32,000 and $44,000, they may have to pay income tax on up to 50% of their benefits. If joint income is more than $44,000, up to 85% of their benefits may be taxable.

Medicare premium and IRMAA (Income-Related Monthly Adjustment Amounts) updates are typically released later in the year, so keep an eye out for that update if you’re already collecting Social Security and enrolled in Medicare.

For many, Social Security is one of the only forms of guaranteed fixed income that will rise throughout retirement. The Senior Citizens League estimates, however, that Social Security benefits have lost approximately 33% of their buying power since the year 2000. This is why, when running retirement spending and safety projections, we factor an erosion of Social Security’s purchasing power into our client’s financial plans. If you have questions about your Social Security benefit or Medicare premiums, we are always here to help!

Kali Hassinger, CFP®, CSRIC® is a Financial Planning Manager and CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™ professional at Center for Financial Planning, Inc.® She has more than a decade of financial planning and insurance industry experience.

The foregoing information has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but we do not guarantee that it is accurate or complete, it is not a statement of all available data necessary for making an investment decision, and it does not constitute a recommendation. Any opinions are those of the author and not necessarily those of Raymond James. While we are familiar with the tax provisions of the issues presented herein, as Financial Advisors of RJFS, we are not qualified to render advice on tax or legal matters. You should discuss tax or legal matters with the appropriate professional.

Securities offered through Raymond James Financial Services, Inc., member FINRA/SIPC. Investment advisory services are offered through Center for Financial Planning, Inc. Center for Financial Planning, Inc. is not a registered broker/dealer and is independent of Raymond James Financial Services.

Q3 2024 Investment Commentary

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This year has been off to a solid start as the melt-up continues. Even during what is usually the worst performing month on average, September, markets rallied. Mega-cap US tech stocks have remained a standout this year again and have driven much of the returns for the S&P 500 for the first half of the year. But, since then, we have seen participation from other areas of the market, such as international, particularly emerging markets, and small company stocks that have made a strong showing since interest rate cuts were back on the table and inflation continued to abate. Bonds have been positive by about the interest they have paid this year, and the Federal Reserve has started to cut interest rates with a .5% cut in September. Interest rate expectations and inflation news have been the major drivers of market returns so far this year. You may have noticed that I have left the election out of this list because the election hasn’t really driven market volatility so far. If you want to learn more about the relationship between elections and markets, check out a replay of our webinar from last month!

As we approach election day, the headlines could potentially drive some short-term volatility and, certainly, our emotions, but historically, long-term markets are driven far more by factors like economic growth, Federal Reserve direction, and fundamentals like growth and valuation. It is very likely that the outcome of the election won’t be settled by the time we wake up the next day, so this could possibly cause some short-term volatility, but we wouldn’t expect this to be sustained. A last note on politics: it is worth mentioning that Congress averted a government shutdown through the passage of a stopgap bill to fund the government through December 20. At that time, we could possibly see some political posturing surrounding this topic again, so we expect to see more headlines surrounding this late in the year. Markets tend to shrug off these headlines as we have “been there, done that” many times before.

GDP

Since the economy is a bigger driver of long-term returns, we should check in on this. As you can see from the chart below, the Federal Reserve seems to be engineering this soft landing they were hoping for.  Inflation and wages continue to come down, unemployment has grown slowly this year, retail sales have slowed a bit, and GDP shows a slowing in this chart but has since had somewhat stronger readings as the year has gone on.

Sources: Bloomberg, Bureau of Economic Analysis, Bureau of Labor Statistics.  Data as of 29 March 2024 for GDP and 31 May 2024 for other statistics.  Retail sails = adjusted retail and food services sales.  Wages = average hourly earnings.

Interestingly, Economic data is almost always revised after the fact. Data points such as how many people in an entire country are looking for jobs, how much money every citizen in a country has earned/spent/saved, or how much the prices of everything in a country have changed – these are pretty hard to track. This quarter, the Bureau of Economic Analysis revised GDP upwards by .3% in 2021, .6% in 2022, and .1% in 2023. Turns out we (consumers) spent more money than previously calculated in the past few years. Remember when we had two negative quarters of GDP growth in early 2022 (which is the technical definition of a recession), but a recession was never declared? Now, with revisions, there weren't actually two negative quarters of GDP growth. The 2nd quarter of 2022 was revised into positive growth rather than negative growth.

Headlines and Inflation

Inflation is still under the microscope despite the Fed shifting gears from the past couple of years' rate-hike environment into the rate-cut environment it has established going forward. The market will likely be watching economic data as it rolls in and reacting accordingly, as it weighs the odds of increasing inflation (and the potential reaction of the Fed moving slower with its rate cuts) OR continued disinflation/deflation (and the potential reaction of the Fed moving faster with its rate cuts). Recently, there have been some headlines of OPEC increasing oil production, which could possibly put downward pressure on oil prices. At the same time, strikes are beginning at ports on the East Coast, which could potentially slow down supply chains and put upward pressure on prices.

Yield Curve UN-Inversion

About two and a half years ago, the yield curve inverted. You can see this in the chart below, with the blue line dropping below 0 (meaning short-term rates are yielding greater than long-term rates).  We wrote about it then and shared that despite the warning sign – stocks still were positive a majority of the time 1 and 2 years later. 2022 was a rough year for both the stock and bond markets, but here we are 2.5 years later, and the S&P 500 is back, making new all-time highs.

Source: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/T10Y2Y

Last month, the yield curve UN-inverted (see that blue line above moving back above 0). You may have seen news articles directing attention to THAT event as the event that typically precedes recessions. It is hard to focus on the signal over the noise when the noise is so loud in our daily lives, from 24/7 media coverage to daily newspapers and endless social media feeds, but looking back on the last ten times, the yield curve UN-inverted:

  • 8 out of 10 times, the S&P 500 was higher the next year.

  • 10 out of 10 times, the S&P 500 was higher ten years later.

Source: Morningstar Direct. S&P 500 TR (USD)

So, what does this mean for your portfolio?

After this first rate cut by the FED, the yield curve UN-inverted AND it is looking like the FED has successfully engineered a soft landing. History can generally be a useful guide to understand how different assets (beyond just US Large cap) performed in this time period. Typically, you see risk assets doing well for equities, while in fixed income, quality tends to shine. Certain asset classes may have a little more tailwind behind them because of starting valuations and a scenario layered in where we have had high but falling inflation, so while the outcome may rhyme, it probably won't be identical to below.

Emerging Markets

Emerging markets made some noteworthy moves recently. Outside China, India, and Taiwan are experiencing excellent performance driven by monetary policy easing and their technology sectors. However, China has had some significant developments, causing them to play a bit of catchup recently. Chinese leaders announced several monetary policy initiatives that drove their recent equity return spike. First was a 50 basis point (bps) cut to the reserve requirements (the amount of cash that banks must hold in reserve against deposits). Second, they cut existing mortgage loan interest rates by 50bps. Other initiatives were also put into place to kickstart their economy. While the path forward could be bumpy, several factors remain a potential tailwind, such as reasonable valuations and company fundamentals and easing monetary policy.

Small Cap Stock Performance

Small cap stocks have been lagging their large cap counterparts for most of the last decade, but this quarter we saw one of the biggest moves in recent history from the asset class. Early in the quarter, there was a huge divergence, and small cap stocks provided a boost to portfolios. The Russell 2000 index ended the quarter +9.3%, beating out the S&P 500 index that was only up +5.9%. Many attributed the outperformance to the market reacting to a potential lower interest rate environment as it looked more certain that the Fed would be cutting rates, the cheaper starting valuations of the small cap asset class, and the overall higher volatility expected from the smaller and less liquid stocks. Whatever the catalyst was, many investors who have been waiting a long time for small cap outperformance were rewarded this past quarter.

While most of us invest with an eye years or decades into the future, short-term market swings can still trigger strong emotional reactions and sometimes push normally calm investors to become short-term traders rather than long-term investors. A properly allocated portfolio and enough cash to fund short-term needs can help to allay an emotional response that might derail your long-term plan. Is your portfolio appropriately positioned for your situation? As always, we are here to help!

Angela Palacios, CFP®, AIF®, is a partner and Director of Investments at Center for Financial Planning, Inc.® She chairs The Center Investment Committee and pens a quarterly Investment Commentary.

Nicholas Boguth, CFA®, CFP® is a Senior Portfolio Manager and Associate Financial Planner at Center for Financial Planning, Inc.® He performs investment research and assists with the management of client portfolios.

Any opinions are those of the Angela Palacios, CFP®, AIF® and Nick Boguth, CFA®, CFP® and not necessarily those of Raymond James. The information contained in this report does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. There is no assurance any of the trends mentioned will continue or forecasts will occur. The information has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but Raymond James does not guarantee that the foregoing material is accurate or complete. Any information is not a complete summary or statement of all available data necessary for making an investment decision and does not constitute a recommendation. Investing involves risk and you may incur a profit or loss regardless of strategy selected. The S&P 500 is an unmanaged index of 500 widely held stocks that is generally considered representative of the U.S. stock market. The Russell 2000 Index measures the performance of the 2,000 smallest companies in the Russell 3000 Index, which represent approximately 8% of the total market capitalization of the Russell 3000 Index. The MSCI EAFE (Europe, Australasia, and Far East) is a free float-adjusted market capitalization index that is designed to measure developed market equity performance, excluding the United States & Canada. The EAFE consists of the country indices of 22 developed nations. The Bloomberg Barclays US Aggregate Bond Index is a broad-based flagship benchmark that measures the investment grade, US dollar-denominated, fixed-rate taxable bond market. Keep in mind that individuals cannot invest directly in any index, and index performance does not include transaction costs or other fees, which will affect actual investment performance. Individual investor's results will vary. Investing in oil involves special risks, including the potential adverse effects of state and federal regulation and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Diversification and asset allocation do not ensure a profit or protect against a loss. Investing involves risk and you may incur a profit or loss regardless of strategy selected. Past performance is not a guarantee or a predictor of future results. Raymond James and its advisors do not offer tax or legal advice. You should discuss any tax or legal matters with the appropriate professional.

The Center Ranked #1 Award-Winning Workplace

Lauren Adams Contributed by: Lauren Adams, CFA®, CFP®

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At The Center, we focus heavily on workplace culture to make our firm a wonderful place to work. We think happy employees translate into a better experience for our clients, and an award-winning workplace also allows us to attract top talent to our firm.

In November, InvestmentNews named us the #1 Best Place to Work for Financial Advisors in the USA for companies our size. This marks the seventh consecutive year we've won this national award and the first time we've taken home the top spot.

Then, in August, Crain's Detroit Business recognized us as a Best Place to Work in Southeast Michigan. This marks the 8th consecutive year that we have been named by Crain's as a "Best Place to Work," and the first year we've been recognized as the #1 employer in southeastern Michigan for companies our size (and #4 across all companies regardless of size). Our team was thrilled to accept our award in person at the celebration luncheon. Also, Partner Lauren Adams was invited to speak on a panel of winners, discussing how treating employees right is a win/win/win for our clients, team, and firm.

 The Center's mission is to strive to improve lives through financial planning done right. It is our joy to do this work each day to improve the lives of our clients and our team.

Lauren Adams, CFA®, CFP®, is a Partner, CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™ professional, and Director of Operations at Center for Financial Planning, Inc.® She works with clients and their families to achieve their financial planning goals.

Securities offered through Raymond James Financial Services, Inc., member FINRA/SIPC. Investment advisory services are offered through Raymond James Financial Services Advisors, Inc.

Center for Financial Planning, Inc. is not a registered broker/dealer and is independent of Raymond James Financial Services.

Any opinions are those of Lauren Adams, CFA®, CFP® and not necessarily those of Raymond James.

Investment News “2024 Best Places to Work for Financial Advisors”. The Best Places to Work for Financial Advisers program is a national program managed by Best Companies Group. The survey and recognition program are dedicated to identifying and recognizing the best employers in the financial advice/wealth management industry. The final list is based on the following criteria: must be a registered investment adviser (RIA), affiliated with an independent broker-dealer (IBD), or a hybrid doing business through an RIA and must be in business for a minimum of one year and must have a minimum of 15 full-time/part-time employees. The assessment process is compiled in a two-part process based on the findings of the employer benefits & policies questionnaire and the employee engagement & satisfaction survey. The results are analyzed and categorized according to 8 Core Focus Areas: Leadership and Planning, Corporate Culture and Communications, Role Satisfaction, Work Environment, Relationship with Supervisor, Training, Development and Resources, Pay and Benefits and Overall Engagement. Best Companies Group will survey up to 400 randomly selected employees in a company depending on company size. The two data sets are combined and analyzed to determine the rankings. A total of 75 employers won . The ranking is based on fiscal year 2023 and was released on 02/28/2024. The award is not representative of any one client's experience, is not an endorsement, and is not indicative of an advisor's future performance. Neither Raymond James nor any of its Financial Advisors pay a fee in exchange for this award. Investment News and/or Best Companies Group is not affiliated with Raymond James.

Crain's 2024 Detroit Business Best Places to Work in Southeast Michigan, developed by Best Companies Group, is based on evaluating employee surveys and the organizations benefits package. To be considered, the organization must: be a publicly or privately held business, be a for-profit, not-for-profit business or government entity, have a facility in Southeast Michigan, have at least 15 full or part-time employees working in Southeast Michigan, be in business for a minimum of one year, and pay a fee to be considered. 93 of the self-nominated applicants won the award. This ranking was released on 8/22/2024, This recognition is neither an evaluation of services offered, nor a ranking of the Center for Financial Planning associates as investment adviser representatives. This award is not representative of any one client's experience, is not an endorsement, and is not indicative of an advisor's past or future performance. Crain's Detroit Business and/or Best Companies Group is not affiliated with Raymond James.

The Top 5 Tips for Managing Beneficiary Selections

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Checking your beneficiary designations each year on your investment accounts is always a wise move. Our team does this before each planning meeting with our clients, and I can't tell you how many times this has prompted an individual or family to make a change. As tax law has continued to evolve and new rules related to inherited retirement accounts have emerged, it's now even more important to be intentional with your beneficiary selections.

Here are my top five tips and considerations when it comes to prudent beneficiary management and selection:

1. Review Beneficiary Elections Annually

As we all know, mistakes happen, and life changes. Kids might now be older and more responsible for making financial decisions, family members you've listed may have passed away, and dear friends you've named as a beneficiary might no longer be part of your life. Let’s look at a hypothetical investor who we’ll call “Sam”. Sam is in his early 70s and had become divorced three years prior. Sam was also less mobile and, as a result, decided he wanted to hire a new adviser who was closer to his home.

His former wife had been named on his retirement account, which had grown to $1M. If Sam didn't take any action of the time of his divorce, his account would go to his ex-wife, and not his two children as he wants. When we identify a beneficiary that needs to be updated, we make sure the client addresses it immediately as that determines who gets that account.

2. Charitably Inclined? Consider Pre-Tax Retirement Accounts

If you have the desire to leave a legacy to charity, naming the charity as a partial or 100% primary beneficiary on a retirement account could be a very smart tax planning move. Unlike an individual, when a charitable organization receives assets from an individual's pre-tax IRA, 401k, etc., the charity does not pay tax on those dollars. Let’s look an at example client who owns a pre-tax traditional IRA ($1M) and a Roth IRA ($500k). She indicates that she wants 10% of her $1.5M portfolio to go to her church, with the remaining amount being split evenly amongst her four adult children.

To accomplish this goal, we’ll name her church as a beneficiary on her traditional IRA for a specific dollar amount of $150,000. The entire bequest would come from the traditional IRA and nothing from her Roth IRA. This amount could be adjusted as needed. By specifically naming the IRA as the account to fund her charitable bequest, more of her Roth IRA will ultimately go to her kids. If the charity received proceeds from her Roth IRA upon death, the charity would still receive the assets tax-free, so it would be foolish to not have more of these assets go to her kids. Assuming each child is in the 25% tax bracket, this move helped to save her estate almost $38,000 in tax.

3. Naming a Trust? Understand the Ramifications

It is common for clients to name their trust as either the primary or contingent beneficiary of their retirement account. However, when naming a trust, it's important to understand the tax ramifications. Irrevocable trusts aren't used as often as revocable living trusts but have a place in certain cases. While irrevocable trusts typically offer a high level of control, the tax rates for these trusts upon the death of the original account owner are much higher than individual rates with much less income.

Revocable living trusts are the most common trusts we see with a client's name listed as a beneficiary (primary or contingent). However, the correct language must be used within the trust to ensure tax-efficient distributions for the beneficiaries of the actual trust (ex., 'see through' trusts). As always, be sure to consult with your attorney on this matter. Our team always wants to collaborate with your attorney and other professionals on your financial team to ensure the right strategy is in place for you and your family.

4. Beneficiaries in Different Tax Brackets: How to Choose

In addition to intentionally identifying which account would be best served to go to a charity, the same rule applies to individuals who find themselves in very different tax brackets. Let's look at a family we'll call the 'Jones Family' as an example. Mrs. Jones is recently widowed and is in her early 80s. She has two adult children: Ryan (51) and Mark (55). All of them reside in Florida, where there is a 0% state income tax. Mrs. Jones' current portfolio value sits at just shy of $1.1M, allocated as follows: $575,000 in a traditional IRA, $300,000 in a Roth IRA, and $200,000 held in an after-tax brokerage account. Her youngest son, Ryan, finds himself in the 12% federal tax bracket, while her older son, Mark, is in the 35% tax bracket. While Mrs. Jones still wants her estate to be split 50/50 between Ryan and Mark, she wants to make sure the least amount of income tax is paid over time on the inheritance her boys will be receiving. To accomplish this goal, we structure her beneficiary designations as follows:

  • Ryan: 100% primary beneficiary on traditional IRA (Mark 100% contingent).

  • Mark: 100% primary beneficiary on Roth IRA and after-tax brokerage account (Ryan 100% contingent on both accounts).

  • Ryan would be subject to Required Minimum Distributions (RMDs) from the Inherited traditional IRA from his mother, and the account must be depleted in 10 years. However, he would only pay 12% in tax on these distributions. If we assume he stays in this bracket for the next decade, Ryan will end up with $506,000 net of tax [$575,000 x .88 (1 – 12% tax rate)] from the account.

  • Being that Mark is in a significantly higher tax bracket, it would be much more tax-efficient for him to inherit his mother's Roth IRA and after-tax brokerage account. While Mark's Inherited Roth IRA will also carry an annual RMD and must be depleted in 10 years, the RMDs he would be taking would NOT be taxable to him. The after-tax brokerage account would also receive what's known as a 'step-up' in cost basis upon Mrs. Jones' death, thus eliminating any large, unrealized capital gains she had in several meaningful stock positions in her account.

While there is never a 'perfect' beneficiary plan, the one outlined above accomplishes Mrs. Jones' goal in the best way possible. If we had named Ryan and Mark as 50% beneficiaries on each account, the total tax burden on the overall inheritance would have been $66,000 higher, primarily due to Mark paying a much higher tax rate on the RMDs from the traditional IRA. Our plan gives Ryan and Mark' net' the same amount. This means more of Mrs. Jones' estate is staying with her family, and a lot less will be going towards tax.

5. End of Life Tax Planning Strategies

As clients age in retirement, they may spend less money and/or incur large medical costs that would result in significant tax deductions. If the owner of a traditional IRA or 401k finds themselves in this situation, they should closely evaluate completing Roth IRA conversions (full conversions, a single partial Roth conversion, or partial conversions over the course of several years).

When converting funds from a traditional IRA to a Roth IRA, the converted funds are considered taxable income. In general, a conversion only makes sense if the rate of tax paid today on the conversion will be less than the tax rate on distributions in the future (either by the current account owner or a future beneficiary). If an individual or family is spending much less and is now well within the 12% bracket, it could make sense to complete annual Roth conversions to completely 'fill up' this low bracket. Another common occurrence that clients might experience is large medical deductions. Unfortunately, these tax deductions ultimately either go to waste or are greatly diminished because there is not enough taxable income to offset the deduction. I have seen scenarios where clients could have converted $30k+ to a Roth IRA completely tax-free due to a large medical deduction. However, the deduction essentially went to waste because no income was generated on the tax return for this deduction to offset. In a sense, this is like striking a match to free 'tax money'. Keep in mind that inherited IRAs cannot be converted to one's own Roth IRA or an Inherited Roth IRA, so exploring conversions during the original account owner's life is imperative. Roth conversions will not make sense for everyone, but when they do, the potential tax dollars saved can be massive.

Naming beneficiaries and having a clear understanding of how you would like funds allocated is step one. Once this is known, the job is usually not complete. A quality adviser who has extensive knowledge of tax planning should be able to offer guidance on how to accomplish this goal in the most tax-efficient manner possible. As mentioned previously, collaboration with other professionals on the client's financial team (ex., CPA and attorney) is ideal. Doing so could allow more of your hard-earned money to stay in the pockets of those you care most for and less going to the IRS!

Nick Defenthaler, CFP®, RICP®, is a Partner and CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™ professional at Center for Financial Planning, Inc.® Nick specializes in tax-efficient retirement income and distribution planning for clients and serves as a trusted source for local and national media publications, including WXYZ, PBS, CNBC, MSN Money, Financial Planning Magazine and OnWallStreet.com.

Securities offered through Raymond James Financial Services, Inc., member FINRA/SIPC. Center for Financial Planning, Inc is not a registered broker/dealer and is independent of Raymond James Financial Services Investment advisory services are offered through Center for Financial Planning, Inc. The foregoing information has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but we do not guarantee that it is accurate or complete, it is not a statement of all available data necessary for making an investment decision, and it does not constitute a recommendation. Any opinions are those of Nick Defenthaler, CFP®, RICP® and not necessarily those of Raymond James.

Raymond James and its advisers do not offer tax or legal advice. You should discuss any tax or legal matters with the appropriate professional.

These examples are hypothetical illustrations and are not intended to reflect any actual outcome. they are for illustrative purposes only. Individual cases will vary. Any information is not a complete summary or statement of all available data necessary for making an investment decision and does not constitute a recommendation. Prior to making any investment decision, you should consult with your financial advisor about your individual situation.

Unlocking Future Success: The Center for Financial Planning’s Internship Program

Kelsey Arvai Contributed by: Kelsey Arvai, CFP®, MBA

The Center Contributed by: Nick Errer and Ryan O'Neal

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In the fast-paced world of finance, theoretical knowledge is only one piece of the puzzle. True mastery comes from hands-on experience, which is why the Center for Financial Planning's internship program is a transformative opportunity for aspiring financial professionals. This program offers more than just a foot in the door; it provides a robust foundation for a successful career through experiential learning and real-world application.

The Power of Experiential Learning

Experience is the greatest teacher, and this is especially true in finance, where understanding theory and practice are equally crucial. The Center for Financial Planning's internship program bridges this gap by immersing interns in the day-to-day operations of financial planning, including work related to client service, marketing, and investments. This practical exposure allows interns to apply classroom concepts in real-world scenarios, deepening their understanding and honing their skills.

Hands-On Training with Industry Professionals

Interns at the Center for Financial Planning benefit from working closely with seasoned financial planners who bring years of experience and expertise to the table. This mentorship is invaluable, offering interns direct insights into the intricacies of financial planning, from client interactions to complex financial strategies. The opportunity to learn from professionals at the top of their field equips interns with a nuanced understanding of industry practices and standards.

Building Real-World Skills

One of the most significant advantages of the internship program is the development of practical skills. Interns gain experience in key areas such as financial analysis, client relationship management, and portfolio management. They engage in tasks ranging from preparing financial reports to assisting advisors with investment strategies, providing a comprehensive view of what a career in financial planning entails.

Networking and Professional Growth

The internship program also serves as a valuable networking platform. Interns connect with industry professionals, fellow interns, and potential employers or future collaborators, which can open doors to future job opportunities and professional collaborations. Additionally, interns receive and provide constructive feedback and guidance, which is crucial for personal and professional development.

Real Experiences from This Summer's Interns

Nick Errer, one of this summer's interns, shares his positive experience: "My time at The Center has been a truly great experience. Being placed in a corporate environment for the first time, I wasn't sure what to expect. Since my first day, everyone at The Center has shown me how great it is to work for a company where everyone is aligned with a unified belief. It's obvious that the core values translate from basic words on the wall to everyday practice. During my time here, I've had the pleasure of working and learning alongside tenured financial professionals. Being in an environment with so many advisors, each with a unique background has helped me better determine the path I'd like to take. The structure of the internship allowed me the freedom to work on projects that interested me while making meaningful contributions to The Center and its clients. I want to thank Kelsey Arvai and everyone at The Center for an amazing summer and for coordinating such a fulfilling internship."

Ryan O'Neal reflects on his journey: "During my internship at The Center for Financial Planning, I engaged in various aspects of financial planning, including tax and estate planning, compliance, client servicing, and investment management. Initially, I had reservations about whether I belonged in this field and questioned the impact of financial planning on clients' lives. However, working closely with clients and observing the team's efforts, I came to appreciate financial planners' significant role in helping enhance clients' financial well-being. This experience not only dispelled my doubts but also reinforced my decision to pursue a career in financial planning."

A Pathway to Future Employment

The Center for Financial Planning's internship program is not just a learning experience; it is often a gateway to future career opportunities. By providing interns with hands-on experience, professional mentorship, and networking opportunities, the program equips them with the tools they need to succeed in the financial planning industry. For those looking to make a meaningful impact in finance, this internship is a critical steppingstone toward a successful career.

In summary, the Center for Financial Planning's internship program offers a comprehensive and enriching experience that prepares interns for the challenges and opportunities of the financial planning profession and beyond. Through practical experience, professional mentorship, and valuable networking, interns are well-positioned to succeed in their future careers.

Kelsey Arvai, MBA, CFP® is an Associate Financial Planner at Center for Financial Planning, Inc.® She facilitates back office functions for clients.

The foregoing information has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but we do not guarantee that it is accurate or complete, it is not a statement of all available data necessary for making an investment decision, and it does not constitute a recommendation. Any opinions are those of Kelsey Arvai, Nick Errer, and Ryan O’Neal and not necessarily those of Raymond James.

Securities offered through Raymond James Financial Services, Inc. Member FINRA/SIPC. Investment advisory services offered through Center for Financial Planning, Inc® Center for Financial Planning, Inc.® is not a registered broker/dealer and is independent of Raymond James Financial Services.