Tips for Managing Restricted Stock Units

Contributed by: Robert Ingram, CFP®

Does your employer offer company stock as part of your compensation package? There are many forms of equity compensation ranging from different types of stock awards to employee stock options (ESO) and employee stock purchase plans (ESPP). Over the last several years, Restricted Stocks Units (RSU) have become one of the most popular alternatives offered by companies. 

 Unlike pure stock awards that grant shares of stock or stock options that provide an employee the right to purchase shares at a predetermined price for a specific period of time, grants of RSUs are not actual shares of stock (yet). An RSU is essentially a promise made by the employer company to deliver to the employee shares of stock or cash payment for the value of stock shares following a vesting schedule. The vesting schedule is often based on a required length of employment, such as a three-year or four-year period, or other company performance goals. The number of units generally corresponds to shares of stock, but the units have no value until the employee receives the corresponding stock shares (or equivalent payment) when they vest.  

 How do RSUs Work? 

Let’s say your employer company grants you 1,000 Restricted Stock Units this year with a grant date of September 1st, and a 4-year vesting schedule under which 25% of the units vest each year as shares of the company’s stock. The following September 1st after the original grant date (one year later) as long as you had continued your employment, the first 25% of your 1,000 RSUs vests as actual company stock shares. Assuming the market value of the stock at the time of vesting is $50 per share, you would have 250 shares of stock worth $12,500. 

 Once the shares have vested and been delivered, you now have ownership rights such as voting rights and rights to dividend payments. You can also choose to hold or to sell the shares from that point. In each subsequent year going forward, the next 25% of your RSUs would vest until the 4th year when the remaining 250 of the 1,000 units vest. 

 One of the first important planning considerations for Restricted Stock Units is their taxation. How are RSUs taxed and how might that impact your tax situation?

 There are three triggering events with RSUs to understand.

 When You Receive RSU Grants

In most cases, at the time you receive your RSU grants, there are no tax implications. Because there is no transfer of actual property by the company until vesting in the form of shares or cash payment, the IRS does not consider the value of the stock represented by RSUs as income compensation when the grant occurs. This means the RSU grants themselves are not taxed.

 When RSUs Vest 

 Once the restricted units vest and the employer delivers the shares of stock or equivalent cash payment, the fair market value of the vested shares or cash payment as of that date (minus any amount the employee had to pay for the RSUs) is considered income and is taxed as ordinary income. Typically, companies grant RSUs without the employee paying a portion, so the full value of the vested shares would be reported as income.  

 In our example above with the 1,000 RSU grants, 250 RSUs vested with the fair market value of $50 per share for a total value of $12,500. This $12,500 would be considered compensation and would be reportable as ordinary income for that tax year. This would apply to the remaining RSUs in the years that they vest. Because this amount is treated as ordinary income, the applicable tax rate under the federal income tax brackets would apply (as well as applicable state income taxes).  

 To cover the tax withholding for this reported income at vesting, most companies allow you a few options. These may include:

• Having the number of shares withheld to cover the equivalent dollar amount

• Selling shares to provide the proceeds for the withholding amount

• Providing a cash payment into the plan to cover the withholding

When You Sell Shares 

 At the time RSUs vest, the market value of those shares is reported as ordinary income. That per-share value then becomes the new cost basis for that group of shares. If you immediately sell the vested shares as of the vesting date, there would be no additional tax. The value of the shares has already been taxed as ordinary income, and the sale price of the shares would equal the cost basis of the shares (no additional gain or loss).

 If however, you choose to hold the shares and sell them in the future, any difference between the sale price and the cost basis would be a capital gain or capital loss depending on whether the sale price was greater than or less than the cost basis.  

 Once again using our example of the 1,000 RSU grants, let’s assume the fair market value of 250 shares at vesting was $50 per share and that you held those shares for over one year. If you then sold the 250 shares for $75 per share, you would have a capital gain of $25 per share ($75 - $50) for a total of $6,250. Since you held the shares for more than one year from the vesting date, this $6,250 would be taxed as a long-term capital gain and subject to the long-term capital gains tax rate of either 0%, 15%, or 20% (as of 2021) depending on your total taxable income. 

 If you were to sell shares within one year of their vesting date, any capital gain would be a short-term capital gain taxed as ordinary income. Since the federal tax brackets apply to ordinary income, you may pay a higher tax rate on the short-term capital gain than you would on a long-term gain even at the highest long-term capital gains rate of 20% (depending on where your income falls within the tax brackets).

 Planning for Additional Income

Because Restricted Stock Units can add to your taxable income (as the units vest and potentially when you sell shares), there are some strategies you may consider to help offset the extra taxable income in those years. For individuals and couples in higher tax brackets, this can be an especially important planning item.  

Some examples could include:

• Maximizing your pre-tax contributions to your 401k, 403(b), or other retirement accounts. If you or your spouse are not yet contributing to the full annual maximum, this can be a great opportunity. ($19,500 in 2021 plus an extra $6,500 “catch up” for age 50 and above). In some cases, if cash flow is tight, it could even make sense to sell a portion of vested RSUs to replace the income going to the extra contributions.

• Contributions to a Health Savings Account (HSA) are pre-tax/tax-deductible, so each dollar contributed reduces your taxable income. If you have a qualifying high deductible health plan, consider funding an HSA up to the annual maximum ($3,600 for individuals/$,7,200 for family coverage, plus an extra $1,000 “catch up for age 55 and above)

 Deferred Compensation plans (if available) could be an option. Many executive compensation packages offer types of deferred compensation plans. By participating, you generally defer a portion of your income into a plan with the promise that the plan will pay the balance to you in the future. The amount you defer each year does not count towards your income that year. These funds can grow through different investment options, and you select how and when the balance in the plan pays out to you, based on the individual plan rules. While this can be an effective way to reduce current income and build another savings asset, there are many factors to consider before participating. 

• Plans can be complex, often less flexible than other savings vehicles, and dependent on the financial strength and commitment of the employer.

• Harvesting capital losses in a regular, taxable investment account can also be a good tax management strategy. By selling investment holdings that have a loss, those capital losses offset realized capital gains. In addition, if there are any remaining excess losses after offsetting gains, you can then offset up to $3,000 of ordinary income per year. Any excess losses above the $3,000 can be carried over to the following tax year.

 When Should I Sell RSUs?

 The factors in the decision to sell or to hold RSUs that have vested as shares (in addition to tax considerations) should be similar to factors you would consider for other individual stocks or investment securities. A question to ask yourself is whether you would choose to invest your own money in the company stock or some other investment. You should consider the fundamentals of the business. Is it a growing business with good prospects within its industry? Is it in a strong financial position; or is it burdened by excessive debt? Consider the valuation of the company. Is the stock price high or low compared to the company’s earnings and cash flow?

Consider what percentage of your investments and net worth the company stock represents. Having too high a concentration of your wealth in a single security poses the risk of significant loss if the stock price falls. Not only are you taking on overall market risk, but you also have the risk of the single company. While each situation is unique, we generally recommend that your percentage of company stock not exceed 10% of your investment assets.

You should also consider your financial needs both short-term and long-term. 

Do you have cash expenses you need to fund in the next year or two and do you already have resources set aside? 

If you’re counting on proceeds from your RSUs, it could make sense to sell shares and protect the cash needed rather than risk selling shares when the value may be lower.  

 As you can see, equity compensation and specifically RSUs can affect different parts of your financial plan and can involve so many variables. That’s why it’s critical that you work with your financial and tax advisors when making these more complex planning decisions. 

So please don’t hesitate to reach out if we can be a resource.

Robert Ingram, CFP®, is a CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™ professional at Center for Financial Planning, Inc.® With more than 15 years of industry experience, he is a trusted source for local media outlets and frequent contributor to The Center’s “Money Centered” blog.

Disclosure: While we are familiar with the tax provisions of the issues presented herein, as Financial Advisors of RJFS, we are not qualified to render advice on tax or legal matters. You should discuss tax or legal matters with the appropriate professional.

2021 Second Quarter Investment Commentary

Contributed by: Center Investment Department

Markets and the economy are still riding the high of greater than expected fiscal stimulus at the beginning the year, an easy Federal Reserve, and economic re-opening. Generally speaking, when economies are expected to do well, stock prices will rise and bond yields are pressured upward which pushes current bond prices down. 2021 is following that pattern. Stock markets around the world continue to climb, and bond yields here in the U.S. are rising as well. To put performance in context, we look at a simple diversified portfolio benchmark consisting of 60% stocks (split between U.S.-S&P 500 and International-MSCI EAFE) and 40% bonds (Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Aggregate Bond Index). This benchmark portfolio is up just over 7% year-to-date as of June 30th, with the S&P 500 leading the way at +15.2%, international stocks (MSCI EAFE) at +9%, and U.S. Aggregate Bonds at a quiet -1.6%.

Gross Domestic Product has shown a sharp increase this year as well as inflation readings heating up (see our recent blog for more information).  Many American’s have received at least 1 dose of a COVID vaccine with high vaccination rates among our most vulnerable population 65+.  Over 80% of those individuals have received a vaccination.  Now that the 12 - 16 year old community can receive a vaccination we are only awaiting an approval of a vaccine for younger children.  It is likely we will see something later this year.

Federal Reserve (The Fed) Policy updates

Short term rates were left unchanged as expected and the monthly pace of asset purchases by the Federal Open Market Committee is unchanged.  Market expectations of future interest rate movements rely strongly on the “dot plot” which is a summary of individual projections of year-end target rates for each of the 18 senior Fed officials (even though not all of them get a vote).  Based on this, news headlines are suggesting the Fed is now targeting two rate increase by the end of the 2023.  When asked, Chairman Powell stated, “dots need to be taken with a big grain of salt.”  So it looks like the Fed maintains their outlook of keeping rates low through the end of 2023 but that the bond market may be pricing in rate hikes earlier than this.

Jobs

The Fed also notes labor force participation rates are lagging as evidenced by more job openings then people unemployed. 

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics

This is, likely, still driven by pandemic-related issues like caregiver needs, ongoing fear of the virus and supplemental/extended unemployment insurance benefits.  As these abate we should see people returning to the workforce and the bottleneck in unemployment alleviated.  Additional government unemployment benefits were set to expire in 25 states at the end of June and the remainder of states by the end of September.  This should result in individuals returning to the labor force especially in the lower wage jobs.  We will be closely watching this to see if upward wage pressure is alleviated as people resume work.  If not, this could indicate a structural lack of labor participants and be a larger than expected driver of inflation.

Real Estate

The real estate sector benefits from the rising value of assets with rising rates as well as inflation-linked product prices and leases.  From a market standpoint, individual company level investments offer opportunity.  In other words, the sector currently favors stock pickers.  Investors who think inflation will be strong in the coming years target companies with properties that have shorter leases.  While anticipation for government-backed projects in the near future spotlight infrastructure companies.  However, what to buy is not what challenges investors when it comes to this sector.  The true challenge is understanding when to buy this sector.  For that reason, many experts like Michelle Butler, real assets portfolio specialist at Cohen & Steers, recommend having an ongoing real asset portfolio allocation to provide protection against unexpected inflation. 

From a political standpoint, our eyes are poised on Joe Biden’s American Families Plan and the implications it may have on real estate.  According to white house briefings, the American Families plan is “$1.8 trillion in investments and tax credits for American families and children over ten years. It consists of about $1 trillion in investments and $800 billion in tax cuts for American families and workers”.  One of the proposed ways of funding the plan is changing favorable tax treatment on 1031 exchanges. Traditionally, 1031 exchanges (like-kind exchanges) allow investors to defer real estate taxes by rolling profits into their next property purchase.  The new tax proposal seeks to remove tax deferments on property gains over $500,000.  While meant to largely impact the wealthiest of investors, some experts fear the proposal could also have a negative effect on small business owners.  Please note, these are just proposals and not legislation that has been introduced or passed at this point.  We are watching to see how this plays out.

Additional notes on inflation:

If inflation is less transitory and more persistent than expected it is important to understand the areas we think about leaning toward in portfolio construction.  Real Assets, Value stocks and active management within your bond portfolio to take advantage of areas like treasury inflation protection bonds can be very important.  Read all the way to the end of the above linked inflation blog to see what other asset classes might fare well in a low and rising inflationary environment.

Crypto Crash 2021

This isn’t the first time cryptocurrency has lost a majority of its value in a flash crash, and it won’t be the last. In 2012, 2015, and 2019 it fell more than EIGHTY PERCENT from its previous high. At $32,000 Bitcoin is currently about 50% off its previous high. Fun math check – in order to reach an 80% drawdown from its previous high, it would have to fall ANOTHER 60% from here. In an aggressive portfolio actively managed cryptocurrency can generate market crushing returns (or losses) depending on time of purchase and an investors ability to be disciplined in their selling strategy. Look out for a blog in the coming months for more on cryptocurrency trading, speculation, blockchain technology, and threats to the crypto industry.

Here are a few ESG investment focused recent additions to our website to check out:

The Center Social Strategy

ESG Investing: Why Everybody Is Talking About It

Not All ESG Funds Are Created Equal

The Center Social Strategy: How We Construct Values-Based Portfolios

 As always, don’t hesitate to reach out to us if you have any questions or would like to explore any of these topics further!  We appreciate the continued trust you place in us!

Angela Palacios, CFP®, AIF®, is a partner and Director of Investments at Center for Financial Planning, Inc.® She chairs The Center Investment Committee and pens a quarterly Investment Commentary.

Jaclyn Jackson, CAP® is a Portfolio Manager at Center for Financial Planning, Inc.® She manages client portfolios and performs investment research.

Nicholas Boguth is a Portfolio Administrator at Center for Financial Planning, Inc.® He performs investment research and assists with the management of client portfolios.

Opinions expressed are those of the author and are not necessarily those of Raymond James. All opinions are as of his date and are subject to change without notice. Future investment performance cannot be guaranteed, investment yields will fluctuate with market conditions. The S&P 500 is an unmanaged index of 500 widely held stocks that is generally considered representative of the U.S. stock market. The MSCI EAFE (Europe, Ausrtalasia, and Far East) is a free float-adjusted market capitalization index that is designed to measure developed market equity performance, excluding the United States & Canada. The EAFE consists of the country indices of 22 developed nations. The Bloomberg Barclays US Aggregate Bond Index is a broad-based flagship benchmark that measures the investment grade, US dollar-denominated, fixed-rate taxable bond market. Keep in mind that individuals cannot invest directly in any index, and index performances does not include transaction costs or other fees, which will affect actual investment performance. Individual investor’s results will vary. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Bitcoin issuers are not registered with the SEC, and the bitcoin marketplace is currently unregulated. Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies are a very speculative investment and involves a high degree of risk.

Big Changes Coming to the FAFSA Process

Contributed by: Josh Bitel, CFP®

2021 has brought some significant changes to the Free Application for Federal Student Aid (FAFSA) process. Thanks to the Consolidated Appropriations Act of 2021, one of these major changes, which will be in effect for the 2023‐2024 academic year, will allow grandparents to help pay for college expenses without falling into a financial‐aid trap.

Before this Act, if grandparents owned 529 Account to help out with college costs, these funds would be considered income to the student in regards to the FAFSA process. The more income a student shows, the less aid this federal program is willing to offer that student. For this reason, grandparent‐owned accounts have been deemed “financial‐aid traps” by many industry professionals.

However, the new FAFSA questionnaire, which will come into play for the 2023‐2024 academic year, no longer asks students to disclose cash support on the form. The IRS now uses a data retrieval tool for this purpose, therefore all student income will be taken from tax return data. This opens up a significant opportunity for grandparents to help cover some educational expenses for their grandchildren without impacting their financial aid status.

529 accounts remain the most popular and tax‐efficient way to help pay for education expenses. Any contributions to these accounts are removed from the contributor’s taxable estate, the funds within the account are invested and grow tax‐free, and (if used for educational expenses) withdrawals are taken out free of tax too! Grandparents have always been able to establish and contribute to these plans, however up until now, there were major pitfalls to be aware of. With the Consolidated Appropriations Act now in full swing, grandparents should strongly consider 529 accounts as a tool to help with education costs.

Josh Bitel, CFP® is a CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™ professional at Center for Financial Planning, Inc.® He conducts financial planning analysis for clients and has a special interest in retirement income analysis.

Disclosure: As with other investments, there are generally fees and expenses associated with participation in a 529 plan. There is also a risk that these plans may lose money or not perform well enough to cover education costs as anticipated. Most states offer their own 529 programs, which may provide advantages and benefits exclusively for their residents. The tax implications can vary significantly from state to state. favorable state tax treatment for investing in Section 529 college savings plans may be limited to investments made in plans offered by your home state. Investors should consult a tax advisor about any state tax consequences of an investment in a 529 plan.

How To Manage Your Finances After A Divorce

Contributed by: Kali Hassinger, CFP®, CDFA®

Divorce isn’t easy.  Determining a settlement, attending court hearings, and dealing with competing attorneys can weigh heavily on all parties involved. In addition to the emotional impact, divorce is logistically complicated.  Paperwork needs to be filed, processed, submitted, and resubmitted.  Assets need to be split, income needs to be protected, and more paperwork needs to be submitted!  With all of these pieces in motion, it can be difficult to truly understand how your financial position will be impacted.  Now, more than ever, you need to be sure that your finances are on the right track.  Although every circumstance is unique, there are few steps that are helpful in most (if not all) situations.

Assess your current financial situation

Following a divorce, you’ll need to get a handle on your budget. You may be responsible for paying expenses that you were once able to share with your former spouse.  What are your current monthly expenses and income?  Regarding expenses, you’ll want to focus on dividing them into two categories: fixed and discretionary.  Fixed expenses include things like housing, food, transportation, taxes, debt payments, and insurance.  Discretionary expenses include things like entertainment and vacations.

Reevaluate your financial goals

Now that your divorce is finalized, you have the opportunity to reflect on your needs and wants separate from anyone else.  If kids are involved, of course their needs will be considered, but now is a time to reprioritize and focus on your needs, too.  Make a list of things you would like to achieve, and allow yourself to think both short and long-term.  Is saving enough to build a cash cushion important to you?  Is retirement savings a focus?  Are you interested in going back to school?  Is investing your settlement funds in a way that reflects your values important to you?

Review your insurance needs

Typically, insurance coverage for one or both spouses is negotiated as part of a divorce settlement, however, there is often still a need to make future adjustments to coverage.  When it comes to health insurance, having adequate coverage is a priority.  You’ll also want to make sure that your disability or life insurance matches your current needs.  Property insurance should also be updated to reflect any property ownership changes resulting from divorce.

Review your beneficiary designations & estate plan

After a divorce, you’ll want to change the beneficiary designations on any life insurance policies, retirement accounts, and bank or credit union accounts. This is also a good time to update or establish your estate plan.

Consider tax implications

Post-divorce your tax filing status will change.  Filing status is determined as of the last day of the year.  So even if your divorce is finalized on December 31st, for tax purposes, you would be considered divorced for that entire year. Be sure to update your payroll withholding as soon as possible.

You may also have new sources of income, deductions, and tax credits could be affected. 

Stay on top of your settlement action items

Splitting assets is no small task, and it is often time consuming.  The sooner you have accounts in your name only, the sooner you will feel a sense of organization and control.  Diligently following up on QDROs, transfers, and rollovers is important to make sure nothing is missed and the process is moving forward as quickly and efficiently as possible.  Working with a financial professional during this process can help to ensure that accounts are moved, invested, and utilized to best fit your needs.

When your current financial picture is clear, it becomes easier to envision your financial future.  Similarly, having a team of financial professionals on your side can create a feeling of security and support, even as you embrace your new found independence.

Kali Hassinger, CFP®, CDFA®, is a CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™ professional at Center for Financial Planning, Inc.® She has more than a decade of financial planning and insurance industry experience.

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This material is being provided for information purposes only and is not a complete description, nor is it a recommendation. Opinions expressed in the attached article are those of the author and are not necessarily those of Raymond James. All opinions are as of this date and are subject to change without notice. Neither Raymond James Financial Services nor any Raymond James Financial Advisor renders advice on tax issues, these matters should be discussed with the appropriate professional.

The Importance of Naming Your Future Advocates

Contributed by: Sandra Adams, CFP®

Estate planning and topics like “incapacity” or “end of life” are topics that most clients dread and often put off taking care of. Not only are these unpleasant topics to think about, but there are often difficult decisions to make in the process.

Aside from making decisions about what to leave people once you are gone and who to leave things to, some of the most critical decisions that need to be made have to do with who you name to make decisions on your behalf – most importantly during your lifetime when you might not be able to make them for yourself. This would come into play with your:

• Patient Advocate/Health Care Durable Power of Attorney

• General/Financial Durable Power of Attorney

• Trust – listing of your Successor Trustee

For each of these, it is important to choose someone that you trust. Someone that could take over handling responsibilities and making decisions for you if you could no longer handle those for yourself, either on a temporary or permanent basis. It is important to note that the advocates for each of these roles DO NOT have to be the same person. You may decide to name a different Health Care/Patient advocate than the person you name for your General/Financial and Successor Trustee. For instance, your daughter that is a nurse may be the perfect person to name as your Patient Advocate. Likewise, your daughter that is the accountant is the perfect person to name as the General/Financial and Successor Trustee because numbers are in her blood. It is also important to remember that you should name at least one or two backup advocates, just in case your first choice is for some reason not available when the time comes. Another tip – it is not a great idea to name multiple people to serve at the same time that cannot make decisions independently. For instance, don’t name your three children to act as your Patient Advocate together – BAD IDEA – even siblings that get along likely won’t all agree when the pressure is on!

What happens when you are single and have no children or family (and maybe no close friends younger than you) to name as your advocate? Surprisingly, this comes up quite often and this makes it hard to find an appropriate advocate. Try naming professional advocates. Here are some possibilities:

• Often, attorneys are willing to serve as General/Financial Powers of Attorney

• Health Care Professionals like Geriatric Care Managers that will serve as Patient Advocates. There is likely to be an hourly cost for their services, but these folks are well qualified and will serve and the proper fiduciaries when the time comes.

• For successor trustees, attorneys or Financial Institution/Broker-Dealer Trust Departments can be named as success trustees or co-successor trustees (also for a cost) to make sure the trust document is followed and the client is protected.

These advocate decisions, especially those that apply to possible lifetime incapacity, are some of the most important estate planning decisions you will make. As much as you don’t want to make them, it is important that you do. We encourage you to consult with your financial planner and estate planning attorney on these and other important estate planning decisions. Don’t put off today making these important decisions that could impact your financial plan!

Sandra Adams, CFP®, is a Partner and CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™ professional at Center for Financial Planning, Inc.® and holds a CeFT™ designation. She specializes in Elder Care Financial Planning and serves as a trusted source for national publications, including The Wall Street Journal, Research Magazine, and Journal of Financial Planning.

How The Historically High Cost Of Retirement Income Affects Your Financial Plan

Contributed by: Nick Defenthaler, CFP®, RICP®

Now more than ever, we find ourselves reminiscing. And if you’re like me, it’s usually about the simple things in life that were so easy to take for granted. Like going out to eat with a large group of friends, having a surprise birthday party for a loved one, or attending a sporting event or concert with a packed arena filled with 30,000 fans having a great time. COVID has caused this reminiscing to occur and it has also played a role in reminiscing of a world where investors used to receive a reasonable yield on portfolios for a relatively low level of risk.

Interest rates have been on a steady decline for several decades now, so COVID certainly isn’t the only culprit to blame here. That said, reductions in interest rates by the Federal Reserve when the pandemic occurred in spring 2020, certainly did not help. As an advisor who typically works with clients who are within 5 years of retirement or currently retired, it’s common to hear comments like, “When we’re drawing funds from our accounts, we can just live off of the interest which should be at least 4% - 5%!”. Given historical dividend and bond yield averages and the fact that if we go back to the late 90s, an investor could purchase a 10 year US treasury bond yielding roughly 7% (essentially risk-free being that the debt was backed by the US government), I can absolutely see why those who lived through this time frame and likely saw their parents living off this level of interest would make these sort of comments. The sad reality is this – the good old days of living off portfolio interest and yield are pretty much dead right now (unless of course, you have a very low portfolio withdrawal rate) and it will likely remain this way for an extended period.

One way to look at this is that the average, historical “cost” to generate $1,000 of annual income from a 50% stock, 50% bond balanced portfolio has been approximately $25,000 (translates into an average yield of 4%). Today, an investor utilizing the same balanced portfolio must invest $80,000 to achieve the $1,000 annual income goal. This is a 320% increase in the “cost” of creating portfolio income!  

It’s worth noting that this is not an issue unique to the United States. The rising cost of portfolio income is a global conundrum as many countries are currently navigating negative interest rate environments (ex. Switzerland, Denmark and Japan). Click here to learn more about what this actually means and how negative interest rates affect investors. Below is a chart showing the history of the 10-year US government bond and US large cap equities from 1870 to 2020.

Source: Robert Shiller http://www.econ.yale.edu/~shiller/

The chart is a powerful visual and highlights how yields on financial assets have taken a nosedive, especially since the 1980s. The average bond yield over 150 years has been 4.5% and the average dividend yield has been 4.1%. As of December 2020, bond yields were at 0.9% and dividend yields stood at 1.6% - quite the difference from the historical average!

So why this dramatic reduction in yields? It’s a phenomenon likely caused by several factors that we could spend several hours talking about. Some experts suggest that companies have increasingly used stock repurchases to return money to shareholders which coupled with high equity valuations have decreased dividend yields globally. Bond yields have plummeted, in part from a flight to safety following the onset of the pandemic as well as the Federal Reserve’s asset purchasing program and reduction of rates that has been a decade-long trend.

The good news is that a low-interest rate environment has been favorable for stocks as many investors (especially large institutional endowments and hedge funds) are realizing that bonds yields and returns will not satisfy the return requirements for their clients which has led to more capital flowing into the equity markets, therefore, creating a tailwind for equities.

Investors must be cautious when “stretching for yield”, especially retirees in distribution mode. Lower quality, high yield bonds offer the yields they do for a reason – they carry significantly more risk than government and high quality corporate and mortgage-backed bonds. In fact, many “junk bonds” that offer much higher yields, typically have a very similar correlation to stocks which means that these bonds will not offer anywhere near the downside protection that high quality bonds will during bear markets and times of volatility. In 2020, it was not uncommon to see many well-respected high yield bond mutual funds down close to 25% amid the brief bear market we experienced. That said, many of these positions ended the year in positive territory but the ride along the way was a very bumpy one, especially for a bond holding!

The reality is simple – investors who wish to generate historical average yields in their portfolio must take on significantly more risk to do so. It’s also important to note that higher yields do not necessarily translate into higher returns. US large cap value stocks are a perfect example of this. Value stocks, which historically have outperformed growth stocks dating back to the 1920s, have underperformed growth stocks in a meaningful way over the last 5 years. This underperformance is actually part of a longer trend that has extended nearly 20 years. Value companies (think Warren Buffet style of investing) will pay dividends, but if stock price appreciation is muted, the total return for the stock will suffer. Some would argue that the underperformance has been partially caused by investors seeking yield thus causing many dividend-paying value companies to become overbought. In many cases, the risk to reward of “stretching for yield” just isn’t there right now for investors, especially for those in the distribution phase. It simply would not be prudent to meaningfully increase the risk of a client’s allocation for a slight increase in income generated from the portfolio.

As we’ve had to do so much over the past year with COVID, it’s important for investors, especially retirees, to shift their expectations and mindset when it comes to portfolio income. Viewing one’s principal as untouchable and believing yield and income will be sufficient in most cases to support spending in retirement is a mistake, in my opinion. Maximizing total return (price appreciation and income) with an appropriate level of risk will be even more critical in our new normal of low rates that, unfortunately, has no sign of leaving anytime soon.

Nick Defenthaler, CFP®, RICP®, is a Partner and CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™ professional at Center for Financial Planning, Inc.® Nick specializes in tax-efficient retirement income and distribution planning for clients and serves as a trusted source for local and national media publications, including WXYZ, PBS, CNBC, MSN Money, Financial Planning Magazine and OnWallStreet.com.

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Views expressed are not necessarily those of Raymond James and are subject to change without notice. Information provided is general in nature, and is not a complete statement of all information necessary for making an investment decision, and is not a recommendation or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. There is an inverse relationship between interest rate movements and bond prices. Generally, when interest rates rise, bond prices fall and when interest rates fall, bond prices generally rise. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is no assurance these trends will continue or that forecasts mentioned will occur. Investing always involves risk and you may incur a profit or loss. No investment strategy can guarantee success.

How Do I Prepare my Portfolio for Inflation?

Contributed by: Angela Palacios, CFP®, AIF®

Inflation is common in developed economies and, generally, more healthy than deflation. When consumers expect prices to rise, they go out and purchase goods and services now rather than waiting until later. While it is likely that inflation will continue to trend higher here in the U.S. in the coming months the question is “Can this harm my portfolio’s ability to help me achieve my goals?” Consider the following factors contributing to or detracting from the inflation outlook.

Our investment committee has discussed inflation at length for several years now. Here are some highlights from our discussion.

Factors influencing inflation in the short term and long term:

1. Large amount of monetary and fiscal stimulus

   There has been a record amount of stimulus being pushed into the pockets of American’s by the government. The consumer is healthier than it has ever been and demanding to purchase.

2. Supply chain disruptions

   Whether due to shipping constraints or lack of manpower, companies can’t make enough of many different products to meet current demand. Does this sound familiar? It should because a year ago all we could talk about is not having enough toilet paper and disinfectant wipes. People were paying big prices for even small bottles of hand sanitizer.

   Fast forward one year and the shelves are now overflowing with these items and prices have normalized. Once people have spent the money they accumulated over the past year, demand will likely return to normal.

3. Starting from a very low base

   The point to which we are comparing current inflation is one of the biggest influences on the calculation. Right now, for year-over-year inflation, we are comparing to an economy that had very little to no economic activity occurring. When you compare something to nothing, it looks much larger than it actually is. A year from now we will have a more normal comparison base.

4. Wage inflation

   One of the biggest factors in the lack of inflation over the past decade was a lack of wage inflation. We are now seeing wage inflation because companies can’t hire enough people to meet the current demand for their goods or services. Wages are going up trying to entice people back to work. Once government transfer payments slow or run out, many of these individuals will likely return to the workforce again causing wages to return to more normal levels (although it is possible wages settle at a new base that is higher than they were before).

5. A complete lack of velocity of money

   While banks are flush with cash, they still aren’t lending. Why? Because the banks, due to banking regulation changes over 10 years ago, only want to loan large amounts of money to someone who is creditworthy. The creditworthy consumer is so healthy that they don’t need to borrow money.

6. Technology increasing productivity

   A large portion of the country just increased productivity by reducing commute time over the past year via remote working capabilities. Companies that would never have considered allowing remote work now find themselves reducing office space and making permanent shifts in working style. This is just one example of how growth in technology can increase productivity which, over time, puts downward pressure on prices.

It is important to understand what investments could do well if we are surprised and inflation is around the corner.

First of all, your starting point is very important. Are you starting from low inflation or are your inflation levels already elevated? The answer is we are starting from a long stretch of time with very low inflation rates. So in the chart below you would reference the lower two boxes. Then you need to ask, is inflation rising or falling. Low and rising inflation is the bottom left box. You may be surprised to see the strong average performance from varying asset classes in this scenario. Inflation that is reasonable and expected can be a very positive scenario for many asset classes.

In our Second Quarter investment commentary we will dive a little deeper into the asset classes that perform well and how we think about incorporating that into your portfolios!

Angela Palacios, CFP®, AIF®, is a partner and Director of Investments at Center for Financial Planning, Inc.® She chairs The Center Investment Committee and pens a quarterly Investment Commentary.

The Key To Financial Planning Is Sticking to the Basics!

Contributed by: Sandra Adams, CFP®

A colleague of mine and I were recently presenting a session on Savings for Junior Achievement for a Detroit High School class as part of The Center’s Financial Literacy initiatives. As part of our presentation, we both shared personal stories about how the fundamentals of budgeting and savings had personally impacted us during our earlier years. Why am I sharing this with you?

First, it was a good reminder that our perspective about money certainly changes over time. Thinking back, I now realize that how I think about money now is certainly different than how I thought about money in my teens and twenties. This is important especially when we are talking to our children and grandchildren about handling money.

Second, it was a good reminder that our experience teaches us good lessons. The things we have been through over our lifetimes, especially with money, sticks in our minds either positively or negatively. Positive experiences and behaviors we will tend to repeat and negative experiences and behaviors we hopefully will learn from and NOT repeat. Although some people take longer to learn than others.

Third, and most importantly, I was reminded with my own story that sticking to the financial planning basics works.

The Basics Are:

• Paying yourself first. (Building savings to yourself right into your budget!)

• Living within your means (spending first for needs and then for wants; spending for wants only if there is money in the budget).

• Building a savings reserve for emergencies.

• Building savings in advance for short-term goals.

• Not accumulating debt that is not needed and paying off any credit in the money that it is accumulated.

• And once you can do all that, building long-term savings for long-term goals like buying a house and retirement.

At one point in my life, I was in a real financial hole, but by sticking to the basics and having a lot of patience, I slowly dug myself out. And I sit here today being able to say that by following the fundamentals, you can be financially successful.  Sticking to the basics works!

Sandra Adams, CFP®, is a Partner and CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™ professional at Center for Financial Planning, Inc.® and holds a CeFT™ designation. She specializes in Elder Care Financial Planning and serves as a trusted source for national publications, including The Wall Street Journal, Research Magazine, and Journal of Financial Planning.

How Individual Stocks Are Performing So Far In 2021: We Are Exhausted

Contributed by: Nicholas Boguth

Picking individual stocks is a challenge. Many professionals dedicate their entire lives to the endeavor and still underperform the market. Look at these surprising numbers from the S&P 500 (representing the U.S. Stock Market) and its top 50 constituents.

Last month, the market as a whole was making all-time highs while a lot of individual names were lagging. As of 5/6/2021, the S&P 500 was at an all-time high (0% below its 52-week high), but 45 out of the top 50 stocks were not. If you had investments in some very well-known companies, you may have been 15% or more below the high point!

Investing in individual stocks is not for everyone. It can be a very high risk/high reward strategy; this past year is a great example. Contact your advisor if you’re considering this strategy.

This material is provided for information purposes only and is not a complete summary or statement of all available data necessary for making an investment decision and does not constitute a recommendation to buy, sell or hold a specific security. Investing involves risk and you may incur a profit or loss regardless of strategy selected. The S&P 500 is an unmanaged index of 500 widely held stocks that is generally considered representative of the U.S. stock market. Keep in mind that individuals cannot invest directly in any index, and index performance does not include transaction costs or other fees, which will affect actual investment performance. Individual investor's results will vary. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

After-Tax 401(k) – An Often Forgotten Strategy

Contributed by: Josh Bitel, CFP®

Roughly half of 401(k) plans today allow participants to make after-tax contributions. These accounts can be a vehicle for both setting aside more assets that have the ability to grow on a tax-deferred basis and as a way to accumulate assets that may be more tax-advantaged when distributed in retirement.

As you discuss after-tax contributions with your financial advisor, you might consider the idea of setting aside a portion of your salary over and above your pre-tax contributions ($19,500 for people under age 50 and $26,000 for those over 50). By making after-tax contributions to your 401(k) plan now, you could build a source of assets for a potentially tax-efficient Roth conversion.

What to consider:

Does your plan allow for after-tax contributions?

Not all plans do. If an after-tax contribution option is available, details of the option should be included in the summary plan description (SPD) for your plan. If you don’t have a copy of your plan’s SPD, ask your human resources department for a copy or find it on your company’s benefits website. You can also talk to your financial advisor about other ways to obtain plan information, such as by requesting a copy of the complete plan document.

What does “after-tax” mean?

After-tax means you instruct your employer to take a portion of your pay — without lowering your taxable wages for federal income tax purposes — and deposit the amount to a separate after-tax account within your 401(k) plan. The money then has the ability to grow tax-deferred. This process differs from your pre-tax option in which your employer takes a portion of your pay and reduces your reported federal taxable wages by the number of your salary deferrals and deposits the funds to your pre-tax deferral account within the plan.

Are there restrictions?

Even if your plan has an after-tax contribution option, there are limits to the amount of your salary that you can set aside on an after-tax basis. Your after-tax contributions combined with your employee salary deferrals and employer contributions for the year 2021, in total, cannot exceed $58,000 (or $64,500 if you are age 50 or over and making catch-up contributions). Your after-tax contributions could be further limited by the plan document and/or meet certain nondiscrimination testing requirements.

Okay, but how does this help me build Roth assets?

When you are eligible to withdraw your 401(k) after-tax account — which could even be while you are still employed — you can rollover or “convert” it to a Roth IRA or a qualified Roth account in your plan, if available. The contributions you made after-tax may be able to be rolled into a Roth IRA each year, even while you are still employed!

If your plan allows for after-tax contributions and you think they may be right for you, it may be time to chat with your financial advisor.

Josh Bitel, CFP® is a CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™ professional at Center for Financial Planning, Inc.® He conducts financial planning analysis for clients and has a special interest in retirement income analysis.

This material is provided for information purposes only and is not a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. Any opinions are those of the author and not necessarily those of Raymond James. Investing involves risk and you may incur a profit or loss regardless of strategy selected. Raymond James and its advisors do not offer tax or legal advice. You should discuss any tax or legal matters with the appropriate professional.